ZZPZH(SH:600436) Haitong Securities International·2025-11-11 09:38Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been adjusted to "Neutral" [4][9]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the company's core product line, the Pian Zai Huang series, is facing pressure on revenue growth and gross margin due to factors such as a challenging consumption environment and high costs of raw materials [1][4]. - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 7.44 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 11.93%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 2.13 billion, down 20.74% year-on-year [4][9]. - The report anticipates potential recovery in consumption and a decrease in raw material costs, which could present future opportunities for the company [1]. Financial Summary - The financial summary indicates projected total revenues for 2025-2027 of RMB 9.65 billion, RMB 9.96 billion, and RMB 10.63 billion, with corresponding net profits of RMB 2.39 billion, RMB 2.62 billion, and RMB 2.94 billion [3][4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be RMB 3.96, RMB 4.35, and RMB 4.87 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][9]. - The report notes a significant decline in the revenue from liver disease medications, which totaled RMB 3.88 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, down 9.4% year-on-year [4][9]. Quarterly Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of RMB 2.06 billion, a decrease of 26.28% year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 687 million, down 28.82% year-on-year [4][9]. - The gross profit margin (GPM) for liver disease medications was 61.1%, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 9.7 percentage points, but showing signs of stabilization [4][9]. Business Segment Performance - The cardiovascular medication segment saw a revenue drop of 65.2% year-on-year, while the cosmetics segment reported a revenue decline of 23.8% [4][9]. - The pharmaceutical commerce segment generated RMB 2.89 billion in revenue, down 8.5% year-on-year, with a GPM of 8.6% [4][9].