科技赛道延续承压调整

Market Analysis - The A-share market is experiencing a mild adjustment with a decrease in trading volume, indicating a continuation of pressure on the technology sector [2][6] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4002.76 points, down 0.39%, while the ChiNext Index fell 1.40% to 3134.32 points, reflecting a divergence in market preferences for "policy certainty" and "high growth elasticity" [6][5] - The photovoltaic equipment sector showed strong performance, driven by favorable policies and technological breakthroughs, while major technology stocks faced declines [6][5] Sector Performance - The photovoltaic equipment sector saw significant gains, with companies like Zhonglai Co. and Xiexin Integration hitting the daily limit, supported by new energy consumption policies [6][5] - The technology sector, including server and consumer electronics indices, experienced declines of 2.45% and 2.11% respectively, attributed to profit-taking after previous gains [6][5] - The report suggests that if there are new catalysts in semiconductor domestic substitution or AI applications, there may be opportunities for rebounds in the technology sector [7] Bond Market Insights - The bond market is characterized by narrow fluctuations with a continued loose funding environment, as evidenced by the central bank's reverse repo operations [11][8] - The 30-year main contract closed at 116.30, while the 10-year contract slightly decreased to 108.475, indicating stable but cautious market conditions [11][8] - The report maintains a cautiously optimistic view on the bond market, emphasizing the need to monitor changes in U.S. Treasury yields [11][8] Commodity Market Overview - The commodity market displayed a mixed performance, with the South China commodity index slightly down by 0.06%, while precious metals continued to show strength [10][8] - Precious metals like gold and silver saw price increases of 3.20% and 2.67% respectively, driven by expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve easing and safe-haven demand [10][8] - The report notes a significant drop in coking coal prices, attributed to weak demand, as steel production has declined to levels comparable to the previous year [10][8] Investment Strategy Recommendations - The report suggests a balanced allocation strategy focusing on dividend stocks, micro-cap stocks, and technology sectors, with a long-term positive outlook on technology [12][7] - In the bond market, a continued loose funding environment is expected, with attention to domestic policies and the potential impact of further U.S. rate cuts [12][7] - For commodities, the report recommends accumulating positions in precious metals, particularly as the Fed's easing policies become more pronounced [12][10]