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阿特斯(688472):Q3光伏组件盈利承压,大储出货超预期且盈利维持良好

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 31.27 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.51%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 989 million yuan, down 49.41% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue was 10.218 billion yuan, a decline of 16.38% year-on-year and 18.03% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 258 million yuan, down 63.96% year-on-year and 62.28% quarter-on-quarter [2][5]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company experienced a decrease in solar module profitability, attributed to rising raw material costs, tariffs in Southeast Asia, and operational losses. However, the energy storage business exceeded shipment expectations, maintaining a healthy profit level despite a decline in gross margin [12]. - The Q3 expense ratio was 9.15%, which increased due to a decrease in revenue scale, while absolute expenses remained stable. The company recognized asset impairment losses of 155 million yuan due to falling component prices and credit impairment losses of 97 million yuan, totaling approximately 252 million yuan [12]. - The net cash flow from operating activities increased by 67.17% year-on-year, primarily due to improved sales collections and inventory optimization [12]. Future Outlook - The company has a robust order backlog in the energy storage sector, with expected shipment growth in 2026 likely to exceed industry levels, benefiting from the surge in data center storage demand. In the solar segment, the focus will be on high-margin markets, and the resolution of U.S. trade barriers is anticipated to enhance performance certainty [12].