西部证券晨会纪要-20251112

Group 1: Fixed Income Market Outlook - The 2026 outlook indicates significant pressure for banks to realize floating profits, while insurance companies will continue to rebalance between equities and bonds supported by premium growth [6][7] - Brokerages are expected to increase their allocation to interest rate bonds and enhance returns through various tools [6][10] - Asset management products will see a slowdown in growth rates post-net worth transformation, with funds facing impacts from declining yields and new redemption regulations [6][11] Group 2: Far East Horizon (03360.HK) - Far East Horizon has evolved into a comprehensive group with financial services as its shield and industrial operations as its spear, being the first listed financing leasing company in China [15][16] - The company is expected to maintain stable leasing volumes and benefit from a decrease in funding costs, alongside profit expansion in its industrial operations due to its overseas strategy [15][16] - The revenue structure is shifting, with the industrial operations segment projected to account for 42.71% of total revenue by 2024, reflecting the effectiveness of its dual-driven strategy [16] Group 3: Beautycounter (300957.SZ) - The company is undergoing operational adjustments, focusing on channel optimization and product concentration, with expectations of returning to stable growth by 2026 [19][20] - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 3.464 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.78%, but showing signs of improvement due to strategic adjustments [19][20] - The company anticipates earnings per share (EPS) of 1.02, 1.22, and 1.43 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [20] Group 4: Top Group (601689.SH) - The company achieved a revenue of 20.9 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 8.1%, while net profit decreased by 12% [22][23] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 29.9 billion, 36.5 billion, and 43.1 billion yuan, reflecting growth rates of 12%, 22%, and 18% respectively [24] - The company is expanding its international presence and developing new products in robotics and AI liquid cooling servers, with significant orders already secured [24]