NORTHEAST SECURITIES·2025-11-12 09:21Group 1: Communication Industry Overview - The communication industry is in a bullish phase, significantly outperforming the market, with the Shenwan Communication Index closing at 4,864.72 points and a year-to-date return of 63.37%, surpassing the Shanghai Composite Index (19.27%), Shenzhen Component Index (28.70%), and ChiNext Index (49.80%) [1][16] - The overall revenue growth rate of the communication industry remained stable in the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue reaching 1.95 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.22% [18][25] - The net profit level showed significant growth, with net profits in the first three quarters increasing by 6.69%, 8.26%, and 11.68% respectively, reflecting a seasonal pattern with the second quarter typically being the strongest [18][25][29] Group 2: Optical Communication - Capital expenditure from major cloud providers continues to grow, with total capital expenditure from North America's top four cloud companies (Microsoft, Google, Meta, Amazon) reaching 719.32 billion, 882.46 billion, and 972.71 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with year-on-year growth rates of 62.4%, 67.0%, and 65.3% respectively [2][40] - The demand for optical modules is expected to increase significantly, with the ratio of 1.6T optical modules demand shifting from 1:2.5 to 1:5 due to the next-generation Vera Rubin architecture [2][52] - The competitive landscape in the optical module industry favors leading companies, as the supply of core materials is expected to remain tight, and leading firms are better positioned to secure orders [2][56] Group 3: Copper Connectivity - The high-speed copper cable market is expanding, driven by data flow growth and infrastructure upgrades, with the global communication cable industry projected to grow from 12.9 billion yuan in 2020 to 17 billion yuan by 2024, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.1% [71][73] - High-speed copper cables are considered the ideal solution for short-distance interconnects within data centers, with demand for multi-channel 800G, 1.6T, and 3.2T cables expected to rise [79][81] - The market for high-speed copper cables is relatively concentrated, with the top five manufacturers holding a combined market share of 86.8% in 2024 [81][82] Group 4: Edge AI and Aerospace Control - The edge AI industry is experiencing explosive growth, with market size and penetration rates expanding exponentially, particularly in smart security and automotive applications [3][4] - The global aerospace measurement and control system market is expected to reach sales of 1.179 billion dollars in 2024 and 2.509 billion dollars by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 13.4% [3][5] - The rapid development of low-orbit satellite internet is driving a surge in satellite constellations and launches, highlighting the scarcity of measurement and control resources [3][5]