股指震荡整理,维持牛市价差
Bao Cheng Qi Huo·2025-11-12 10:40
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Today, all stock indices fluctuated and consolidated. The total trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets throughout the day was 1964.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 49.1 billion yuan compared to the previous day. In the short term, the fermentation rhythm of policy - favorable expectations and the profit - taking rhythm of funds are in a game, and the stock indices are in a volatile and repeated market. In the medium and long term, the policy - favorable expectations and the trend of capital inflow into the stock market together form strong support for the stock indices. Especially next year is the beginning of the "15th Five - Year Plan", and the policy - favorable expectations support the stock indices to rise in the medium and long term. However, the incremental policy signals have weakened in the short term. As the stock valuation has risen significantly, the willingness of profit - making funds to take profits has increased, and the stock indices technically need to consolidate. Overall, with multiple factors at play, the stock indices will mainly fluctuate within a range in the short term. Currently, the implied volatility of options is at a relatively low historical quantile level. Considering the medium - and long - term upward trend of the stock indices, the idea of maintaining a bull spread is recommended [3]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Option Indicators - On November 12, 2025, the 50ETF rose 0.53% to close at 3.197; the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 0.04% to close at 4.765; the 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) fell 0.06% to close at 4.912; the CSI 300 Index fell 0.13% to close at 4645.91; the CSI 1000 Index fell 0.72% to close at 7486.38; the 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) fell 0.51% to close at 7.356; the 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) fell 0.54% to close at 2.937; the GEM ETF fell 0.16% to close at 3.108; the Shenzhen 100ETF rose 0.09% to close at 3.528; the SSE 50 Index rose 0.32% to close at 3044.30; the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF fell 0.55% to close at 1.45; the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF fell 0.50% to close at 1.41 [5]. - The trading volume PCR and position PCR of various options on November 12, 2025, and their changes compared to the previous trading day are provided in detail, including those of 50ETF options, 300ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), CSI 300 Index options, CSI 1000 Index options, 500ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), GEM ETF options, Shenzhen 100ETF options, SSE 50 Index options, Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options, and E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options [6]. - The implied volatility of at - the - money options in November 2025 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets for various options are also provided, such as 50ETF options, 300ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), CSI 300 Index options, CSI 1000 Index options, 500ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), GEM ETF options, Shenzhen 100ETF options, SSE 50 Index options, Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options, and E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options [7][8]. 3.2 Relevant Charts - SSE 50ETF Options: Include charts of the SSE 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [9]. - Shanghai Stock Exchange 300ETF Options: Include charts of the Shanghai Stock Exchange 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [18]. - Shenzhen Stock Exchange 300ETF Options: Include charts of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [31]. - CSI 300 Index Options: Include charts of the CSI 300 Index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [43]. - CSI 1000 Index Options: Include charts of the CSI 1000 Index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [56]. - Shanghai Stock Exchange 500ETF Options: Include charts of the Shanghai Stock Exchange 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [70]. - Shenzhen Stock Exchange 500ETF Options: Include charts of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [83]. - GEM ETF Options: Include charts of the GEM ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [96]. - Shenzhen 100ETF Options: Include charts of the Shenzhen 100ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [109]. - SSE 50 Index Options: Include charts of the SSE 50 Index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [122]. - Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Options: Include charts of the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [135]. - E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Options: Include charts of the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility [144].