凯莱英(002821):新业务25Q3收入实现翻倍增长,维持25年收入指引
HUAXI Securities·2025-11-12 13:51

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 46.30 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.82%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.00 billion yuan, up 12.66% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 14.4 billion yuan, a slight decline of 0.09% year-on-year, with the small molecule business revenue declining over 20% year-on-year, while emerging businesses saw a significant growth of 114% year-on-year [2]. - The company expects a revenue growth of 13% to 15% for the full year 2025, translating to an estimated revenue of 65.6 to 66.8 billion yuan, with Q4 revenue projected to be between 19.3 and 20.5 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year growth of 15.9% to 22.9% [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 46.30 billion yuan and a net profit of 8.00 billion yuan, with a non-GAAP net profit of 7.28 billion yuan [1]. - The company’s Q3 revenue was 14.4 billion yuan, with a decline in small molecule business revenue but a doubling in emerging business revenue [2]. Future Outlook - The company is focused on expanding its market presence, with new orders showing double-digit growth, which adds certainty to future performance [2]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in Q4 deliveries compared to Q3, supporting the revenue growth guidance for 2025 [2]. Investment Recommendations - The company is positioned as a leading domestic small molecule CDMO supplier, with ongoing enhancements in its integrated service capabilities in small molecules and continued investment in large and biological molecules [3]. - Adjusted revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 66.09 billion, 77.48 billion, and 89.30 billion yuan, respectively, with EPS estimates revised to 3.05, 3.66, and 4.50 yuan [3].