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昭衍新药(603127):财务数据继续呈现压力,新签订单延续边际改善趋势
HUAXI Securities·2025-11-12 14:53

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The financial data continues to show pressure, but new orders are showing a marginal improvement trend. The company reported a revenue of 985 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 26.23%, but achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 81 million yuan, marking a return to profitability [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 316 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 34.87%, with a gross margin of 16.32%. The overall financial data remains under pressure due to a decline in new orders in 2023-2024 [2]. - Cumulative new orders for the first three quarters of 2025 amounted to approximately 1.64 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17%. In Q3 2025, new orders were 620 million yuan, up 24% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter, benefiting from improved client demand [2]. - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 20 million yuan, with the laboratory business contributing a loss of 60 million yuan, while asset management income contributed 13 million yuan. The fair value change of biological assets was 52 million yuan, indicating a decline in the net profit margin of the core laboratory service business to -18.9% due to intense competition [2]. Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Adjustments have been made to the earnings forecast for 2025-2027, with revenue estimates revised from 1.651 billion, 1.678 billion, and 1.762 billion yuan to 1.577 billion, 1.604 billion, and 1.684 billion yuan respectively. The EPS estimates were adjusted from 0.21 yuan to 0.14 yuan, 0.21 yuan to 0.15 yuan, and 0.21 yuan to 0.14 yuan for the respective years [3]. - The price-to-earnings ratio (PE) for 2025 is projected to be 230 times, 223 times for 2026, and 236 times for 2027, based on the closing price of 33.07 yuan per share on November 12, 2025 [3].