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永辉超市(601933):永辉超市2025Q3季报点评:调改进入精细化纵深阶段

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 12.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 25.5%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 470 million yuan, compared to a loss of 350 million yuan in the same period last year. For the first three quarters, the total revenue was 42.43 billion yuan, down 22.2% year-on-year, with a net loss of 710 million yuan. The company is entering a more refined stage of adjustment [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's revenue decreased by 25.5% year-on-year, primarily due to intense industry competition and the proactive closure of underperforming stores. However, the company has been continuously improving store operations, with a total of 450 stores at the end of Q3, a net decrease of 102 stores. The number of adjusted stores reached 222, with a net increase of 98 stores, indicating a focus on enhancing the quality of existing stores [10]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 was 19.8%, an increase of 0.65 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to improved gross profit structure and enhanced product strength. Additionally, the total expenses for sales, management, finance, and research and development decreased by 18% year-on-year, suggesting an overall improvement in store quality and a potential recovery in profitability [10]. Strategic Adjustments - The company is transitioning from horizontal adjustments to a more refined and in-depth phase. In Q3, it continued to upgrade its supply chain, reducing the supplier base with a 40.4% elimination rate. The company has also launched new products under its own brand, with significant sales growth in certain categories, such as a 195% year-on-year increase in sales of a specific seafood product [10]. - The company aims to establish 200 core strategic partners and develop 100 billion-yuan-level flagship products within three years, positioning itself as a trusted choice for quality living among Chinese families [10]. Future Outlook - The company is committed to a quality retail strategy, focusing on management, supply chain, and store operations to enhance product and service capabilities. As the adjusted stores enter a deeper operational phase, there is potential for profit elasticity if revenue stabilizes and profitability improves. The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be -0.11, 0.06, and 0.17 yuan, respectively [10].