黄金:降息预期回升白银:再创新高铜:市场情绪修复价格上涨
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-11-13 01:50
- Report Industry Investment Ratings No industry investment ratings were provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - Gold: Expectations of interest rate cuts are rising [2]. - Silver: Reached a new high [2]. - Copper: Market sentiment has recovered, leading to price increases [2]. - Zinc: Experiencing minor fluctuations [2]. - Lead: Reduced overseas inventories are supporting prices [2]. - Tin: The price has exceeded 300,000 yuan [2]. - Aluminum: Showing a slightly bullish and volatile trend [2]. - Alumina: Trading within a range [2]. - Cast Aluminum Alloy: Following the trend of electrolytic aluminum [2]. - Nickel: High inventories are accumulating, conflicting with risks in Indonesia, resulting in low - level fluctuations [2]. - Stainless Steel: Lacking upward momentum, but also with limited downside potential [2]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs 3.1 Gold and Silver - Price Movements: - Gold:沪金2512昨日收盘价945.76,日跌幅 - 0.33%,夜盘收盘价963.32,夜盘涨幅1.78%;Comex黄金2512昨日收盘价4201.40,日涨幅1.65% [4]. - Silver:沪银2512昨日收盘价12073,日涨幅1.65%,夜盘收盘价12508.00,夜盘涨幅4.81%;Comex白银2512昨日收盘价53.230,日涨幅4.22% [4]. - Trading Volume and Open Interest: - Gold:沪金25122510昨日成交260,377,较前日减少21,972;持仓124,540,较前日减少6,505;Comex黄金2512成交278,020,较前日增加38,441;持仓278,065,较前日减少13,785 [4]. - Silver:沪银2512昨日成交101,561,较前日增加31,704;持仓88,600,较前日减少5,753;Comex白银2512成交155,458,较前日增加57,975;持仓122,583,较前日无变化 [4]. - Inventory Changes: - Gold: Comex黄金(金衡盎司,前日)库存37,575,140,较前日减少154,316 [4]. - Silver: Comex白银(金衡盎司,前日)库存478,558,059,较前日减少546,636 [4]. - Trend Intensity: Gold and silver both have a trend intensity of 1 [6]. 3.2 Copper - Price Movements:沪铜主力合约昨日收盘价86,840,日涨幅0.24%,夜盘收盘价87430,夜盘涨幅0.68%;伦铜3M电子盘昨日收盘价10,897,日涨幅0.53% [8]. - Trading Volume and Open Interest:沪铜指数昨日成交159,202,较前日增加2,758;持仓552,936,较前日减少173;伦铜3M电子盘成交19,884,较前日增加6,498;持仓319,000,较前日减少5,408 [8]. - Inventory and Spread: - Inventory:沪铜期货库存44,088,较前日增加1,124;伦铜库存136,250,较前日无变化 [8]. - Spread: LME铜升贴水较前日变动 - 6.43;上海铜现货对LMEcash价差较前日增加72 [8]. - Trend Intensity: Copper has a trend intensity of 1 [10]. 3.3 Zinc - Price Movements:沪锌主力收盘价22680,涨幅0.02%;伦锌3M电子盘收盘价3069,跌幅 - 0.53% [11]. - Trading Volume and Open Interest:沪锌主力成交量71426,较前日减少10276;持仓量105905,较前日减少1570;伦锌成交量9073,较前日减少844;持仓量220862,较前日增加946 [11]. - Inventory and Spread: - Inventory:沪锌期货库存70890,较前日增加372;LME锌库存35875,较前日增加575 [11]. - Spread: ZN00 - ZN01较前日变动15 [11]. - Trend Intensity: Zinc has a trend intensity of 0 [13]. 3.4 Lead - Price Movements:沪铅主力收盘价17660,涨幅1.26%;伦铅3M电子盘收盘价2067,涨幅0.51% [14]. - Trading Volume and Open Interest:沪铅主力成交量55843,较前日增加24988;持仓量50539,较前日减少4568;伦铅成交量8189,较前日减少1092;持仓量155924,较前日增加2283 [14]. - Inventory and Spread: - Inventory:沪铅期货库存24686,较前日增加917;LME铅库存225225,较前日减少1500 [14]. - Spread: PB00 - PB01较前日变动 - 15 [14]. - Trend Intensity: Lead has a trend intensity of 0 [15]. 3.5 Tin - Price Movements:沪锡主力合约昨日收盘价292,440,日涨幅1.48%;伦锡3M电子盘昨日收盘价37,405,日涨幅1.93% [17]. - Trading Volume and Open Interest:沪锡主力合约昨日成交124,419,较前日增加74,980;持仓40,779,较前日增加4,387;伦锡3M电子盘成交180,较前日减少9;持仓13,988,较前日增加53 [17]. - Inventory and Spread: - Inventory:沪锡期货库存5,446,较前日减少136;伦锡库存3,055,较前日增加40 [17]. - Spread: SMM 1锡锭价格较前日增加1,500;长江有色1锡平均价较前日增加4,300 [17]. - Trend Intensity: Tin has a trend intensity of 1 [20]. 3.6 Aluminum, Alumina, and Cast Aluminum Alloy - Price Movements: - Aluminum:沪铝主力合约收盘价21880;LME铝3M收盘价2880 [21]. - Alumina:沪氧化铝主力合约收盘价2821 [21]. - Cast Aluminum Alloy:铝合金主力合约收盘价21245 [21]. - Trading Volume and Open Interest: - Aluminum:沪铝主力合约成交量223798;持仓量420066 [21]. - Alumina:沪氧化铝主力合约成交量267963;持仓量412758 [21]. - Cast Aluminum Alloy:铝合金主力合约成交量6280;持仓量15573 [21]. - Inventory and Spread: - Aluminum: LME注销仓单占比6.19%;LME铝cash - 3M价差 - 23.69 [21]. - Alumina: No significant spread data mentioned [21]. - Cast Aluminum Alloy:近月合约对连一合约价差 - 235.00 [21]. - Trend Intensity: Aluminum and cast aluminum alloy have a trend intensity of 1, while alumina has a trend intensity of 0 [23]. 3.7 Nickel and Stainless Steel - Price Movements: - Nickel:沪镍主力收盘价118,710;1进口镍119,000 [24]. - Stainless Steel:不锈钢主力收盘价12,425 [24]. - Trading Volume and Open Interest: - Nickel:沪镍主力成交量98,248 [24]. - Stainless Steel:不锈钢主力成交量139,703 [24]. - Industry - related Data: - Nickel: 8 - 12%高镍生铁(出厂价)909;镍板进口利润 - 1,577 [24]. - Stainless Steel: 304/2B卷 - 毛边(无锡)宏旺/北部湾12,825 [24]. - Trend Intensity: Both nickel and stainless steel have a trend intensity of 0 [28].