Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the price trends and key support and resistance levels of various futures contracts on November 13, 2025 [2][3][4]. Summary by Directory 1. Macro News and Trading Alerts - China - Spain leaders met and witnessed the signing of 10 cooperation documents in economic, technological, and educational fields [7]. - Chinese and US economic officials emphasized the importance of economic and trade cooperation [7]. - Chinese officials welcomed foreign retail enterprises to invest in China [7]. - Seven Chinese government departments jointly issued an opinion to strengthen science and technology education in primary and secondary schools [7]. - The US House of Representatives will vote on a temporary appropriation bill, potentially ending the 43 - day government shutdown [8]. - The US Treasury Secretary announced upcoming "substantial" tariff news and a "tariff dividend" plan [8]. - Different Fed officials have different views on interest rate cuts [8]. 2. Commodity Futures - related Information - On November 12, US and Brent crude oil futures prices fell, with OPEC lowering its global oil demand forecast [9]. - On November 12, international precious metal futures generally rose, driven by factors such as the approaching end of the US government shutdown and geopolitical risks [9]. - On November 12, most London base metals rose [10]. - The EIA adjusted its 2025 and 2026 crude oil price forecasts [10]. - The IEA believes that global oil and gas demand may continue to grow until 2050 [11]. - OPEC expects the oil market to achieve supply - demand balance in 2026 [11]. - The Simandou iron ore project officially started production, with proven reserves of 4.4 billion tons [11]. - On November 12, the on - shore RMB against the US dollar and the RMB central parity rate both rose [11]. - On November 12, the US dollar index fell slightly, and non - US currencies showed mixed performance [12]. 3. Futures Market Analysis and Forecast 3.1 Stock Index Futures - On November 12, the main contracts of stock index futures showed different trends, with overall weak rebounds [12][13][14]. - A - share markets were volatile on November 12, with some sectors rising and others falling [14]. - The Shanghai Stock Exchange International Investors Conference was held, with officials announcing measures to optimize the capital market [15][16]. - Overseas investors' holdings of A - shares have increased, and institutions are generally optimistic about A - shares in 2026 [15][16]. - On November 12, the Hong Kong stock market rose, with different performances among sectors [16]. - On November 12, US and European stock markets showed different trends, and institutions are cautious about the future performance of US stocks [17]. - It is expected that stock index futures will oscillate and consolidate on November 13, 2025, and will have wide - range oscillations in November [18]. 3.2 Treasury Bond Futures - On November 12, the main contracts of ten - year and thirty - year treasury bond futures rose slightly, with weak rebounds [33][39]. - On November 12, the central bank conducted 195.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 130 billion yuan [34]. - On November 12, short - term Shibor rates declined [34]. - It is expected that the main contracts of ten - year and thirty - year treasury bond futures will have wide - range oscillations on November 13, 2025 [36][40]. 3.3 Precious Metal Futures - On November 12, the main contract of gold futures had a slight decline, with weakening upward momentum [40]. - On November 12, the main contract of silver futures rose significantly, hitting a record high [48]. - It is expected that in November 2025, the main continuous contracts of gold and silver futures will have strong wide - range oscillations, and the silver futures will hit a record high. On November 13, 2025, both are expected to oscillate strongly [40][41][49][50]. 3.4 Base Metal Futures - On November 12, the main contracts of copper, aluminum, and tin futures rose slightly, with varying degrees of upward momentum [53][57][61]. - It is expected that in November 2025, the main continuous contracts of copper, aluminum, and tin futures will have strong wide - range oscillations. On November 13, 2025, they are expected to oscillate strongly [53][57][61]. 3.5 Other Commodity Futures - On November 12, the main contracts of polysilicon, lithium carbonate, rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, coking coal, crude oil, fuel oil, and PTA futures showed different trends [65][66][72][75][77][84][89][94][96]. - It is expected that on November 13, 2025, polysilicon and lithium carbonate futures will have wide - range oscillations; rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, coking coal, and PTA futures will oscillate weakly; crude oil and fuel oil futures will oscillate weakly [66][73][75][77][85][89][94][96].
股指期货将震荡整理,白银期货再创上市以来新高,黄金、锡期货将震荡偏强,铜、铝期货将偏强震荡,原油、燃料油期货将震荡偏弱
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-11-13 05:14