2025年10月宏观经济数据

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report In October 2025, under the strong leadership of the CPC Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, various regions and departments implemented the decisions and arrangements of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, adhered to the general tone of making progress while maintaining stability, and the national economy maintained a generally stable and progressive development trend, with stable production and supply, overall stable employment, improved prices, and the cultivation and growth of new driving forces [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Industry - In October, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 4.9% year - on - year and 0.17% month - on - month. The added value of the mining industry, manufacturing, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water increased by 4.5%, 4.9%, and 5.4% respectively. The added value of the equipment manufacturing and high - tech manufacturing industries increased by 8.0% and 7.2% respectively, faster than the overall industrial enterprises above designated size. The output of 3D printing equipment, new energy vehicles, and industrial robots increased by 30.8%, 19.3%, and 17.9% respectively. From January to October, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 6.1% year - on - year [2]. - In October, the manufacturing PMI was 49.0%, and the enterprise production and operation activity expectation index was 52.8%. From January to September, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size was 5373.2 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.2% [2]. Services - In October, the national service industry production index increased by 4.6% year - on - year. The production indexes of information transmission, software and information technology services, leasing and business services, and the financial industry increased by 13.0%, 8.2%, and 5.6% respectively, faster than the service industry production index. From January to October, the national service industry production index increased by 5.7% year - on - year. From January to September, the operating income of service enterprises above designated size increased by 7.6% year - on - year [3]. - In October, the service industry business activity index was 50.2%, and the service industry business activity expectation index was 56.1%. The business activity indexes of industries such as railway transportation, air transportation, postal services, accommodation, and culture, sports, and entertainment were in the high - level prosperity range of 60.0% and above [3]. Consumption - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 4629.1 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2.9% and a month - on - month increase of 0.16%. Retail sales in urban and rural areas increased by 2.7% and 4.1% respectively. Retail sales of goods and catering revenue increased by 2.8% and 3.8% respectively. Retail sales of basic necessities and some upgraded consumer goods grew rapidly. From January to October, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 41216.9 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.3%. The national online retail sales were 12791.6 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 9.6%. The retail sales of physical goods online were 10398.4 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 6.3%, accounting for 25.2% of the total retail sales of consumer goods. From January to October, the retail sales of services increased by 5.3% year - on - year, 0.1 percentage points faster than in the first three quarters [4]. Investment - From January to October, the national fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 40891.4 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 1.7%. Excluding real estate development investment, fixed - asset investment increased by 1.7%. Infrastructure investment decreased by 0.1%, manufacturing investment increased by 2.7%, and real estate development investment decreased by 14.7%. The sales area and sales volume of newly built commercial housing decreased by 6.8% and 9.6% respectively. Investment in the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries increased by 2.9%, 4.8%, and decreased by 5.3% respectively. Private investment decreased by 4.5%. Excluding real estate development investment, private investment increased by 0.2%. Investment in information services, aerospace equipment manufacturing, and computer and office equipment manufacturing in high - tech industries increased by 32.7%, 19.7%, and 4.1% respectively. In October, fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 1.62% month - on - month [5]. Import and Export - In October, the total volume of goods imports and exports was 3702.8 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.1%. Exports were 2171.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.8%, and imports were 1531.1 billion yuan, an increase of 1.4%. From January to October, the total volume of goods imports and exports was 37309 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.6%. Exports were 22114.6 billion yuan, an increase of 6.2%, and imports were 15194.4 billion yuan, remaining flat year - on - year. General trade imports and exports increased by 2.3%, accounting for 63.4% of the total import and export volume. Imports and exports to countries along the Belt and Road increased by 5.9%. Private enterprise imports and exports increased by 7.2%, accounting for 57.0% of the total import and export volume, 1.9 percentage points higher than the previous year. Exports of mechanical and electrical products increased by 8.7%, accounting for 60.7% of the total export volume [6]. Prices - In October, the national consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.2% year - on - year and 0.2% month - on - month. Food and tobacco prices decreased by 1.6%, while clothing, housing, daily necessities and services, education, culture and entertainment, medical care, and other supplies and services prices increased. The core CPI excluding food and energy prices increased by 1.2% year - on - year, 0.2 percentage points higher than the previous month. From January to October, the national CPI decreased by 0.1% year - on - year. The national producer price index for industrial products (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points, and increased by 0.1% month - on - month. The purchase price index for industrial producers decreased by 2.7% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing by 0.4 percentage points, and increased by 0.1% month - on - month. From January to October, the national PPI and the purchase price index for industrial producers decreased by 2.7% and 3.2% respectively [7]. Employment - From January to October, the average urban surveyed unemployment rate nationwide was 5.2%. In October, the urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.1%, 0.1 percentage points lower than the previous month. The surveyed unemployment rate of local household registration labor force was 5.3%, and that of migrant labor force was 4.7%, among which the surveyed unemployment rate of migrant agricultural household registration labor force was 4.5%. The surveyed unemployment rate in 31 large - scale cities was 5.1%, 0.1 percentage points lower than the previous month. The average weekly working hours of enterprise employees nationwide were 48.4 hours [8].