碳酸锂数据日报-20251114

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - Due to the mismatch between supply and demand, with the terminal (energy storage + new energy vehicles) peak season continuing and the supply fluctuating at a high level without a significant increase, the price of lithium carbonate has obvious support at the bottom. Considering the hedging pressure and the resumption of production in Jiangxi mines, it is expected that the price of lithium carbonate may fluctuate widely in the short term [3] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Compounds - The average price of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate is 84,350 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 3,000 yuan/ton; the average price of SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 82,000 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 900 yuan/ton [1] Futures Contracts - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2511 is 86,400 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 1.58%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2512 is 87,660 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 1.34%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2601 is 87,840 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 1.39%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2602 is 87,620 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 1.51%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2603 is 87,360 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 1.28% [1] Lithium Ore - The average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) (Li2O 5% - 6%) is 1,001 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 17 yuan/ton; the average price of lithium mica (Li2O: 1.5% - 2.0%) is 1,450 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 30 yuan/ton; the average price of lithium mica (Li2O: 2.0% - 2.5%) is 2,280 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 35 yuan/ton; the average price of amblygonite (Li2O: 6% - 7%) is 8,085 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 205 yuan/ton; the average price of amblygonite (Li2O: 7% - 8%) is 9,510 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 215 yuan/ton [1][2] Cathode Materials - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 36,960 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 355 yuan/ton; the average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 160,350 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 100 yuan/ton; the average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 141,650 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 500 yuan/ton; the average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 142,150 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 500 yuan/ton [2] Price Spreads - The difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2,350 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 150 yuan/ton; the difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 3,490 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 210 yuan/ton; the difference between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is - 180 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 100 yuan/ton; the difference between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is 40 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 180 yuan/ton [2] Inventory - The total weekly inventory is 120,472 tons, with a weekly decrease of 3,481 tons; the weekly inventory of smelters is 28,270 tons, with a weekly decrease of 2,445 tons; the weekly inventory of downstream is 48,772 tons, with a weekly decrease of 3,236 tons; the weekly inventory of others is 43,430 tons, with a weekly increase of 2,200 tons; the daily registered warehouse receipts are 27,508 tons, with a daily decrease of 770 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of externally purchased lithium spodumene concentrate is 84,065 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 907 yuan/ton; the cash cost of externally purchased lithium mica concentrate is 87,365 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 6,361 yuan/ton [3]