Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [6] Core Viewpoints - The suspension of export restrictions to the U.S. is expected to boost China's antimony exports, which accounted for 36% of the country's antimony production in 2023 [2] - The price gap between domestic and international antimony is anticipated to narrow as exports resume [3] - Antimony prices have shown significant fluctuations influenced by export policies and demand changes, with a notable increase of 68% from February 10 to April 17, 2025 [4] Summary by Sections Export Policy Impact - The Ministry of Commerce announced a one-year suspension of export restrictions to the U.S., which is expected to lead to a recovery in antimony exports [2] - The announcement includes stricter controls on dual-use items, particularly for military applications [2] Price Trends - Antimony ingot prices rose from 143,000 CNY/ton to 240,000 CNY/ton between February 10 and April 17, 2025, before declining to 150,000 CNY/ton by November 6, 2025 [4] - The price of antimony in the UK was approximately 31.7 million CNY/ton as of November 7, 2025, indicating a significant premium over domestic prices [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring companies such as Huaxi Nonferrous Metals, Hunan Gold, and Huayu Mining, as the resumption of exports is expected to support domestic antimony prices [4]
——锑行业系列报告之九:商务部暂停实施对美出口限制一年,锑出口有望恢复