Yin He Zheng Quan·2025-11-14 09:40Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating for the company [3] Core Insights - The company is projected to experience a slight revenue decline in 2024, with total revenue expected to be 1,160,311 million, a decrease of 8.2% from the previous year. However, a gradual recovery is anticipated, with revenue growth of 1.3% in 2026 and 2.1% in 2027 [8][9] - The company's net profit is forecasted to decrease to 30,758 million in 2024, with a further decline to 29,463 million in 2025, before recovering to 30,607 million in 2026 and 31,522 million in 2027 [8][9] - The gross margin is expected to remain stable at around 9.8% to 9.9% over the forecast period, indicating consistent operational efficiency [8] Financial Projections - The balance sheet shows total assets of 2,256,414 million in 2024, with a projected decrease to 2,117,710 million in 2025, followed by a recovery to 2,202,455 million in 2026 and 2,293,484 million in 2027 [8] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities is expected to improve significantly, rising from 28,051 million in 2024 to 89,684 million in 2027 [8] - The report highlights a projected EBITDA of 73,624 million in 2024, increasing to 80,367 million in 2025, indicating a positive trend in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization [8] Key Ratios - The report indicates a projected return on equity (ROE) of 7.9% in 2024, declining to 6.8% by 2026, reflecting potential challenges in generating shareholder returns [8] - The debt-to-equity ratio is forecasted to be 342.3% in 2024, indicating a high level of leverage, which may pose risks in terms of financial stability [8] - The current ratio is projected to be 0.99 in 2024, suggesting that the company may face liquidity challenges in meeting short-term obligations [8]