转债市场日度跟踪 20251114-20251115
Huachuang Securities·2025-11-15 07:29
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - On November 14, the convertible bond market contracted in volume and declined, with compressed valuations. The CSI Convertible Bond Index decreased by 0.58% compared to the previous day, and the trading sentiment in the convertible bond market weakened. The total trading volume of the convertible bond market was 71.351 billion yuan, a 9.71% decrease from the previous day [1]. - The convertible bond price center declined, and the proportion of high - priced bonds decreased. The overall weighted average closing price of convertible bonds was 135.02 yuan, a 0.64% decrease from the previous day. The valuation was compressed, with the 100 - yuan par - value fitted conversion premium rate at 31.82%, a 0.82 - percentage - point decrease from the previous day [2]. - In the stock market, more than half of the underlying stock industry indices declined. Among A - share markets, the top three industries with the largest declines were electronics (-3.09%), communication (-2.46%), and media (-2.16%); the top three industries with the largest increases were real estate (+0.39%), banking (+0.26%), and pharmaceutical biology (+0.17%). In the convertible bond market, 23 industries declined, with the top three industries with the largest declines being communication (-2.52%), national defense and military industry (-1.85%), and automobile (-1.66%); the top three industries with the largest increases were steel (+2.31%), environmental protection (+0.82%), and public utilities (+0.27%) [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Overview - Index Performance: The CSI Convertible Bond Index decreased by 0.58% compared to the previous day, the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 1.93%, the ChiNext Index decreased by 2.82%, the SSE 50 Index decreased by 1.15%, and the CSI 1000 Index decreased by 1.16% [1]. - Market Style: Large - cap value stocks were relatively dominant. Large - cap growth stocks decreased by 2.20%, large - cap value stocks decreased by 0.55%, mid - cap growth stocks decreased by 1.48%, mid - cap value stocks decreased by 1.19%, small - cap growth stocks decreased by 1.45%, and small - cap value stocks decreased by 0.85% [1]. - Fund Performance: The trading sentiment in the convertible bond market weakened. The trading volume of the convertible bond market was 71.351 billion yuan, a 9.71% decrease from the previous day; the total trading volume of the Wind All - A Index was 1980.382 billion yuan, a 4.13% decrease from the previous day; the net outflow of the main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 62.011 billion yuan, and the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond increased by 0.14 bp to 1.81% [1]. Convertible Bond Price and Valuation - Convertible Bond Price: The overall weighted average closing price of convertible bonds was 135.02 yuan, a 0.64% decrease from the previous day. The closing price of equity - biased convertible bonds was 178.79 yuan, a 1.27% decrease; the closing price of bond - biased convertible bonds was 121.53 yuan, a 0.10% decrease; the closing price of balanced convertible bonds was 130.91 yuan, a 0.31% decrease. The proportion of high - priced bonds above 130 yuan was 62.34%, a 0.75 - percentage - point decrease from the previous day. The price median was 133.72 yuan, a 0.93% decrease from the previous day [2]. - Convertible Bond Valuation: The valuation was compressed. The 100 - yuan par - value fitted conversion premium rate was 31.82%, a 0.82 - percentage - point decrease from the previous day; the overall weighted par value was 104.59 yuan, a 0.52% decrease from the previous day. The premium rate of equity - biased convertible bonds was 10.60%, a 1.34 - percentage - point decrease; the premium rate of bond - biased convertible bonds was 84.51%, a 0.54 - percentage - point decrease; the premium rate of balanced convertible bonds was 22.78%, a 0.24 - percentage - point decrease [2]. Industry Performance - Underlying Stock Industry: Among A - share markets, the top three industries with the largest declines were electronics (-3.09%), communication (-2.46%), and media (-2.16%); the top three industries with the largest increases were real estate (+0.39%), banking (+0.26%), and pharmaceutical biology (+0.17%) [3]. - Convertible Bond Industry: In the convertible bond market, 23 industries declined, with the top three industries with the largest declines being communication (-2.52%), national defense and military industry (-1.85%), and automobile (-1.66%); the top three industries with the largest increases were steel (+2.31%), environmental protection (+0.82%), and public utilities (+0.27%) [3]. - Key Indicators by Sector: - Closing price: The large - cycle sector decreased by 0.15%, the manufacturing sector decreased by 1.11%, the technology sector decreased by 1.59%, the large - consumption sector decreased by 0.64%, and the large - finance sector decreased by 0.66% [3]. - Conversion premium rate: The large - cycle sector decreased by 0.57 percentage points, the manufacturing sector decreased by 0.37 percentage points, the technology sector increased by 0.3 percentage points, the large - consumption sector decreased by 0.29 percentage points, and the large - finance sector increased by 0.051 percentage points [3]. - Conversion value: The large - cycle sector increased by 0.51%, the manufacturing sector decreased by 0.87%, the technology sector decreased by 1.74%, the large - consumption sector decreased by 0.64%, and the large - finance sector decreased by 1.01% [3]. - Pure bond premium rate: The large - cycle sector decreased by 0.23 percentage points, the manufacturing sector decreased by 1.7 percentage points, the technology sector decreased by 2.3 percentage points, the large - consumption sector decreased by 0.82 percentage points, and the large - finance sector decreased by 0.79 percentage points [4].