ETF 掘金图鉴系列报告之三:科创债投资手册
Changjiang Securities·2025-11-15 13:45
- Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The launch of the first and second batches of science - innovation bond ETFs in 2025 marks the entry of the science - innovation bond market into a new stage, which has evolved from the exploration of "dual - innovation bonds" to the mature stage with the construction of the "technology board" in the bond market [7][17][93]. - Science - innovation bonds have significant differences from "dual - innovation bonds" in terms of issuer scope, issuance venues, and fund usage. As of September 30, 2025, the outstanding amount of science - innovation bonds is 2.8286 trillion yuan, dominated by science - innovation corporate bonds, with industrial entities having a high proportion in all three types of bonds [8][25][93]. - In the primary market, the issuance scale of science - innovation bonds has increased from 500 million yuan in 2020 to over 125 billion yuan as of September 30, 2025. The issuance period has first shortened and then lengthened, and the interest rate has generally declined with fluctuations. The issuance of urban investment bonds is concentrated in provinces such as Jiangsu and Shandong, and industrial entities are dominated by central and local state - owned enterprises [9][93]. - In the secondary market, science - innovation bonds have higher liquidity scores than non - science - innovation bonds. High - rated, medium - short - term, and publicly - issued varieties have better liquidity. The excess spread is generally lower than that of non - science - innovation bonds of the same issuer, the trading deviation is smaller, and the proportion of TKN trading volume is higher than that of credit bonds [10][72][93]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Development Context - The development of science - innovation bonds has gone through three stages: the institutional exploration period of "dual - innovation bonds" from 2015 - 2017, the rapid growth period of forming a "stock exchange + inter - bank market" dual - market pattern in 2022, and the mature stage with the launch of the "technology board" in the bond market and policy upgrades in 2025 [7][17][93]. 3.2 Fundamental Core - Differences from "dual - innovation bonds": "Dual - innovation bonds" are limited to innovation and entrepreneurship and venture capital companies, issued only on the exchange with a 3 - 5 - year term, and used for early - stage equity investment. Science - innovation bonds cover a wider range of issuers, including science - innovation enterprises and financial institutions, are issued in both markets with flexible terms, and have clear requirements for the proportion of funds invested in the science - innovation field [8][25]. - Issuance Specifications: Exchange - listed science - innovation enterprise - type bonds need to meet R & D investment or patent requirements, and inter - bank market entity - type bonds need to have a science - innovation title. There are also rich credit enhancement methods, such as the central - local cooperation credit enhancement model and credit risk mitigation vouchers (CRMW) [8]. 3.3 Primary Market - Issuance Scale: From 2020 to 2025, the issuance scale of science - innovation bonds has increased from 500 million yuan to over 1.25 trillion yuan as of September 30, 2025, showing a leap - forward growth [9][49]. - Subject Structure: The issuance of urban investment entities is concentrated in regions such as Jiangsu, Shandong, Anhui, Sichuan, and Chongqing. Industrial entities are mainly state - owned enterprises, with local state - owned enterprises issuing over 54 billion yuan and central state - owned enterprises over 44 billion yuan as of September 30, 2025, while the scale of private enterprises is significantly lower [9][55]. - Term and Interest Rate: The term has generally changed from short to long, rising from 2.46 years in 2023 to 3.45 years as of September 30, 2025. The interest rate has fluctuated downward, dropping to 2.14% as of September 30, 2025, indicating an increase in market recognition [9]. 3.4 Secondary Market - Liquidity Advantage: As of September 30, 2025, the liquidity scores of science - innovation bonds are higher than those of non - science - innovation bonds. Among them, high - implied - rated, publicly - issued, and medium - short - term remaining - maturity science - innovation bonds have better liquidity [10][72]. - Trading Characteristics: The yield of science - innovation bonds is generally lower, and the proportion of TKN trading volume is higher than that of credit bonds. Under the influence of the issuance of the first batch of science - innovation bond ETFs in July 2025, the proportion of TKN in science - innovation bonds reached 77.64% in June, confirming market activity and recognition [10][88].