Workflow
固收+基金2025年Q3季报分析:固收+基金大时代
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-11-16 07:55
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q3 2025, the scale of public offering fixed - income + funds increased significantly compared to the previous quarter, reaching a record high, with the increment mainly coming from secondary bond funds, possibly due to institutional funds such as insurance funds and wealth management [2][7]. - The concentration of leading institutions has increased. The proportion of the top ten fund companies in the fixed - income + fund scale has risen from 43.0% in Q2 2025 to 46.0% in Q3 2025 [2]. - The equity position of fixed - income + funds has risen to the highest level since Q1 24, with obvious increased allocation to equities. The funds mainly increased their holdings in the manufacturing sector while also considering finance, technology, and basic industries [2]. - Fixed - income + funds' top ten heavy - position stocks are relatively stable overall, and the ten stocks with the most increased holdings are mainly concentrated in the technology field [2]. - In Q3 2025, convertible bond funds and secondary bond funds became the main forces for increasing convertible bonds. Fixed - income + funds continued to prefer convertible bonds in the banking sector, but the proportion of bank - sector convertible bonds decreased, while the proportions of convertible bonds in the power equipment, non - bank finance, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industries increased significantly [2][3]. - There is no significant correlation between the scale of fixed - income + funds and their yield distribution characteristics. The income of small - and medium - scale products is more elastic, and in Q3 2025, the proportion of products with positive income is 83.49%, with an average yield of about 3.16% [3][66]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Overall Scale: Secondary Bond Funds Become the Main Force for Expansion - Fixed - income + funds are a hybrid investment strategy that uses fixed - income assets as the core allocation and enhances returns through a small amount of equity - asset allocation. Their scale increased rapidly in Q2 and Q3 25, reaching over 2.5 trillion yuan again in Q3 25 [7]. - In Q3 2025, the scale of public offering fixed - income + funds increased significantly compared to the previous quarter, reaching a record high. The total net asset value of fixed - income + funds was about 2.75 trillion yuan, a significant increase of 0.5 trillion yuan from Q2 25, with a month - on - month increase of 23.2%. The increment mainly came from secondary bond funds, whose scale exceeded that of primary bond funds and became the largest type of fixed - income + funds [2][7]. - The number of fixed - income + funds increased slightly in Q3 2025, also reaching a record high. The proportion of secondary bond funds in the total market's net asset value increased significantly, while the proportions of primary bond funds and partial - debt hybrid funds decreased slightly [10][13]. - The significant increase in the scale of secondary bond funds in Q3 may be mainly due to institutional funds such as insurance funds and wealth management. For example, the proportion of secondary bond funds in bank wealth - management bond - fund investments increased by 6.3 pct month - on - month to 8.9%, and the investment scale increased by 0.06 trillion yuan to 0.09 trillion yuan [2][14]. 3.2 Institutional Scale: Concentration of Leading Institutions Increases 3.2.1 Stock Scale Ranking - In Q3 2025, the proportion of the top ten public - offering fund companies in the fixed - income + fund scale increased month - on - month, and the industry concentration increased. The proportion of the top five fund companies increased from 26.2% in Q2 2025 to 28.9% in Q3 2025, and the proportion of the top ten increased from 43.0% to 46.0% [20]. - As of the end of September 2025, the top ten fund companies in the fixed - income + fund scale were E Fund, Invesco Great Wall Fund, Fullgoal Fund, Huatai - PineBridge Fund, Bosera Fund, China Merchants Fund, GF Fund, China Europe Fund, China Asset Management, and Penghua Fund [20]. 3.2.2 Stock Scale Changes - In Q3 2025, the scale changes of different - scale fund companies in the fixed - income + fund field showed significant differentiation. Large - scale public - offering fund companies had a scale increase far exceeding the industry average, while small - and medium - sized fund companies had little scale change, and some even shrank [26]. - Different types of fund companies also showed significant differentiation in the scale growth of fixed - income + funds in Q3 2025. Private - equity - affiliated fund companies led with an increase of 85.89 billion yuan, followed by securities - affiliated and bank - affiliated fund companies, while insurance - affiliated fund companies had a contraction of 3.6 billion yuan [29]. - In Q3 2025, leading institutions became the main force for growth. The top ten public - offering fund companies in the scale growth of fixed - income + funds were Invesco Great Wall Fund, Fullgoal Fund, Bosera Fund, Huatai - PineBridge Fund, China Europe Fund, E Fund, Yongying Fund, Penghua Fund, GF Fund, and Huashang Fund [30]. 3.3 Asset Allocation Changes: Increase in Equity Position 3.3.1 Changes in the Allocation of Major Asset Classes of Fixed - Income + Funds - According to Q3 2025 data, the asset - allocation structure of fixed - income + funds was adjusted, and the stock position rose to the highest level since Q1 24. The market - wide market - value proportions of stocks, bonds, and cash in fixed - income + funds in Q3 25 were 8.9%, 87.1%, and 1.4% respectively, with corresponding scale increases of 1020.9 billion yuan, 3759.6 billion yuan, and 35.8 billion yuan compared to Q2 25 [35]. - Except for convertible bond funds, the stock - holding proportions of other types of bond funds increased to varying degrees compared to the previous quarter, while the bond - holding proportions decreased to varying degrees [39]. 3.3.2 Changes in Stock - Asset Investment - Fixed - income + funds' equity assets are mainly invested in the manufacturing sector. In Q3 2025, the manufacturing sector accounted for about 63% of the investment scale, followed by the mining, finance, and information transmission, software, and information technology services industries, with a total proportion of about 24% [47]. - In Q3 2025, the manufacturing industry was the most significantly increased industry, with a scale increase of 634 billion yuan and a proportion increase of 6.03 percentage points. The mining and information transmission, software, and information technology services industries also had increased investment, while the power, construction, real estate, and education industries had reduced investment [49]. - In Q3 2025, the top ten heavy - position stocks of fixed - income + funds were relatively stable overall. Zijin Mining, CATL, and Tencent Holdings remained in the top three, and technology stocks such as Alibaba - W, Zhongji Innolight, Luxshare Precision, and SMIC entered the top ten. The overall allocation direction of the top ten heavy - position stocks continued to hold the growth sector [50]. - The ten stocks with the most increased holdings by fixed - income + funds in Q3 2025 were mainly concentrated in the technology field, and 8 of them also entered the top ten heavy - position stocks of public - offering funds in the same quarter [52]. 3.3.3 Changes in Convertible - Bond Asset Investment - Among fixed - income + funds, convertible bond funds and secondary bond funds are the main holders of convertible bonds. In Q3 2025, convertible bond funds and secondary bond funds became the main forces for increasing convertible bonds, while primary bond funds and partial - debt hybrid funds reduced their holdings [53][55]. - Overall, about 11.19% of fixed - income + funds' assets were allocated to convertible bonds in Q3 2025. Only the convertible - bond position of convertible bond funds increased month - on - month, while the positions of other fixed - income + funds decreased [55]. - Among the top five heavy - position bonds of fixed - income + funds, financial bonds and treasury bonds dominated in Q3 2025, with a total proportion of about 80%, and convertible bonds accounted for 7.5% [56]. - Among the top five heavy - position bonds of fixed - income + funds in Q3 2025, bank - sector convertible bonds still dominated, but the proportion decreased, while the proportions of convertible bonds in the power equipment, non - bank finance, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industries increased significantly [61]. - The top ten convertible bonds with the most increased holdings by fixed - income + funds in Q3 2025 were mainly concentrated in the banking, non - bank finance, and power equipment sectors, and 8 of them also entered the top ten in the convertible - bond holding scale of fixed - income + funds in the same quarter [65]. 3.4 Performance - According to Q3 2025 data, there is no significant correlation between the scale of fixed - income + funds and their yield distribution characteristics. The income of small - and medium - scale products is more elastic. In Q3 2025, the proportion of products with positive income was 83.49%, and the average yield was about 3.16% [66]. - The top ten fixed - income + funds with outstanding performance in Q3 2025 included Huaan Zhilian Hybrid (LOF), Southern Changyuan Convertible Bond, etc. These funds achieved excess returns through flexible allocation of equity positions such as technology and convertible - bond assets [67]. - Among the top ten heavy - position stocks of fixed - income + funds with a quarterly yield of over 18% in Q3 2025, the technology - growth sector dominated, and the holdings were relatively decentralized, reflecting the differentiated positioning of different fixed - income + products' investment strategies [68].