Xiangcai Securities·2025-11-16 07:54Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a rising trend in influenza activity, suggesting a structural opportunity in the flu vaccine market. It emphasizes the importance of focusing on innovative vaccines and companies with differentiated pipelines to capture alpha opportunities in a competitive landscape [8][9][27]. Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Performance - Over the past twelve months, the vaccine sector has shown a relative performance of -25% compared to the CSI 300 index, with an absolute return of -5% [3][4]. - The vaccine sector's PE (ttm) is reported at 101.87X, with a PB (lf) of 1.99X, indicating a slight increase in valuation metrics [7][20]. Domestic and International Vaccine Dynamics - Recent approvals for clinical trials include various vaccines from companies like Zhifei Biological Products and CanSino, indicating ongoing innovation in the sector [4][8]. - The National Influenza Center reported an increase in flu cases, with 621 outbreaks reported, suggesting a potential uptick in demand for flu vaccines [4][8]. Market Review - The vaccine sector experienced a 3% increase in the last week, reflecting a moderate performance compared to other pharmaceutical segments [5][6]. - Companies such as Jindike and Hualan Biologicals showed strong performance, while others like Wantai and Zhifei Biologicals lagged behind [6][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the vaccine industry is currently under pressure, with a need for companies to focus on innovation and international expansion. It recommends monitoring companies with high technical barriers and differentiated pipelines [8][9][27]. - Specific companies to watch include CanSino for its innovative capabilities and Kanghua Biologicals for its stable demand products [9][27].