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新能源消纳指导意见出台,重视优质绿电与调节性电源
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-11-16 10:01

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [4] Core Insights - The release of the 1360 document clarifies the development goals for renewable energy, focusing on the consumption and regulation of renewable energy. It emphasizes the importance of high-quality green electricity operators with advantageous resource locations, high project development efficiency, and low financing costs, particularly highlighting the relative advantages of offshore wind energy. Additionally, it recommends attention to flexible regulation resources such as thermal power, energy storage, and virtual power plants [3][7][12] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report reviews the market performance from November 10 to November 14, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,990.49 points, down 0.18%, and the CSI 300 Index at 4,628.14 points, down 1.08%. The CITIC Power and Utilities Index closed at 3,225.64 points, down 0.57%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.51 percentage points [1][56] New Policies and Guidelines - The National Energy Administration issued two guiding opinions on November 7 and November 12, focusing on the integration of coal and renewable energy and promoting the integrated development of renewable energy. These guidelines aim to enhance market mechanisms and price systems to accommodate the volatility of renewable energy output, stabilize long-term consumption space, and encourage the development of green certificate markets [3][12][13] Market Dynamics - The report notes that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the installed capacity of renewable energy in China has historically surpassed that of thermal power, marking a significant change in the energy structure. By 2030, the goal is to achieve reasonable consumption of 200 million kilowatts of renewable energy annually [3][13] Key Investment Opportunities - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong positions in green electricity, particularly those involved in offshore wind energy. It also suggests looking into flexible thermal power resources and energy storage solutions. Specific companies highlighted include Huaneng International, Huadian International, and Longyuan Power [7][8][12] Carbon Market Insights - The national carbon market saw a price increase of 4.12% over the week, with a trading volume of 16.775 million tons and a total transaction value of 1.008 billion yuan. The closing price on the last trading day was 60.17 yuan per ton [52][55] Company Performance - The report includes a table of key stocks with ratings, such as Zhejiang Energy Power and Huadian Power, all rated as "Buy" with projected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for the coming years [8]