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房地产行业周报:央行助力房地产发展新模式,二手房销售环比上升-20251116
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-11-16 10:41

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [1] Core Views - The central bank is enhancing financial support for the real estate sector, contributing to a new development model, while second-hand housing sales have shown a month-on-month increase [6][15] - The report highlights that the real estate sector has outperformed the broader market, with the Shenwan Real Estate Index rising by 2.7% compared to a 1.08% decline in the CSI 300 Index, resulting in a relative return of 3.78% [3][11] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The Shenwan Real Estate Index increased by 2.7%, while the CSI 300 Index decreased by 1.08%, indicating stronger performance in the sector [3][11] 2. Industry Fundamentals - For the week of November 7-13, the total number of new homes sold in 38 key cities was 20,673 units, a year-on-year decrease of 31.4% and a month-on-month decrease of 2.5%. The total area sold was 2.171 million square meters, down 35.5% year-on-year and 0.1% month-on-month [4][20] - In the same week, the total number of second-hand homes sold in 16 key cities was 18,576 units, a year-on-year decrease of 23.8% but a month-on-month increase of 3.4%. The total area sold was 1.855 million square meters, down 18.7% year-on-year but up 6.2% month-on-month [4][32] - The inventory of commercial housing in 17 key cities was 188.439 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 0.1% and a depletion cycle of 173.4 weeks [4][50] 3. Land Market Supply and Transaction Analysis - During the week, 6,292.4 million square meters of land were supplied, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, while land transactions totaled 1,189.5 million square meters, down 73.9% year-on-year [5] 4. Financing Analysis - Real estate companies issued a total of 4.62 billion yuan in credit bonds during the week, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 6.29% and a month-on-month decrease of 50.05% [5]