我国实现TMSR钍：铀转化，迈出商业化核心一步

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market - A" [6] Core Insights - China's 2 MW liquid fuel thorium-based molten salt experimental reactor (TMSR) has achieved the first in-core thorium-uranium conversion, marking a significant step towards commercialization and reducing reliance on imported uranium [1][19] - The global thorium molten salt reactor market is expected to exceed $80 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 25% from 2025 to 2030, driven by strong demand in industrial high-temperature processes and hydrogen production [2][43] - The TMSR technology offers significant advantages in resource utilization and safety compared to traditional uranium-based reactors, with the potential to enhance energy security for China [38][39] Summary by Sections 1. Special Research - The TMSR has established a unique research platform for thorium-uranium cycles, which can efficiently utilize thorium resources and reduce dependence on imported uranium [1][19] - The molten salt reactor (MSR) is recognized as the most disruptive technology among the fourth-generation nuclear reactors, offering substantial benefits in resource utilization and safety [1][20][38] 2. Market Review - From November 1 to November 15, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.9%, while the public utility index increased by 1.79%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [3][47] 3. Market Information Tracking - In November 2025, the average transaction price of electricity in Jiangsu was 355.95 RMB/MWh, reflecting an 8.96% decrease from the benchmark price [4] - The average price of thermal coal in the Bohai Rim region was reported at 698 RMB/ton, showing an increase of 18 RMB/ton [14] 4. Industry Dynamics - The National Energy Administration is promoting the integrated development of renewable energy, emphasizing the need for multi-dimensional development and collaboration with various industries [11] - The State Council's white paper on carbon peak and carbon neutrality highlights significant energy efficiency improvements, with a cumulative reduction of 11.6% in energy consumption per unit of GDP during the 14th Five-Year Plan [12] 5. Investment Portfolio and Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in the thorium molten salt reactor technology, including Baotou Steel, Shanghai Construction, and Shanghai Electric, which have made significant technological advancements [46] - Recommendations for public utilities include monitoring coal-fired power companies and hydropower firms, as well as nuclear power companies for their long-term growth potential [14]