非银金融行业周报:居民存款搬家在途,险资3Q25二级市场权益资产配置规模显著提升-20251116
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-11-16 11:12

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the non-bank financial sector, highlighting the potential for growth in wealth management and asset management businesses within brokerages [3][4]. Core Insights - The report indicates a significant shift of household deposits from traditional banks to capital markets, with a notable increase in non-bank institution deposits by 1.85 trillion yuan in October 2025, while household deposits decreased by 1.34 trillion yuan [4]. - The insurance sector shows robust growth, with insurance funds' investment balance reaching 37.5 trillion yuan by the end of Q3 2025, reflecting a 3.4% increase from Q2 2025 and a 12.6% increase year-on-year [4]. - The report emphasizes the increasing attractiveness of the equity market, which is expected to benefit brokerage firms' wealth management and asset management businesses [4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,628.14 with a weekly change of -1.08%, while the non-bank index rose slightly by 0.16% [7]. - The brokerage sector index decreased by 1.01%, while the insurance sector index increased by 2.63% [7]. Non-Bank Financial Data - As of November 14, 2025, the average daily trading volume in the stock market was 20,283.14 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.76% from the previous period [46]. - The margin trading balance reached 25,065.34 billion yuan, an increase of 34.4% compared to the end of 2024 [19]. Key Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on brokerage firms that will benefit from the increased attractiveness of the equity market, specifically highlighting firms such as GF Securities, Huatai Securities, and China Galaxy Securities [4]. - In the insurance sector, companies like China Life, China Pacific Insurance, and AIA are recommended due to their strong performance and growth potential [4].