Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [2][7]. Core Views - Recent data indicates that the year-on-year decline in second-hand housing transactions in first-tier cities has narrowed, while new housing transactions remain under pressure [1][6]. - The market is entering a traditional off-season for transactions, with significant year-on-year declines in new housing sales, while second-hand housing sales are also slowing down [7]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In Beijing, the average daily transaction of second-hand homes was 504 units, down 14.5% year-on-year, while new homes saw a 43.3% decline with 85 units sold [4]. - In Shanghai, second-hand homes had an average daily transaction of 756 units, down 15% year-on-year, and new homes saw a 2% decline with 315 units sold [4]. - In Shenzhen, second-hand homes had an average daily transaction of 171 units, down 29%, and new homes saw a significant 77% decline with 64 units sold [5]. - For November (up to the 15th), second-hand home transactions in first-tier cities showed a year-on-year decline of 24%, while new homes declined by 47% [4][5]. Market Trends - The new housing transaction area in 30 major cities decreased by 26% year-on-year, with a notable narrowing of the decline compared to the previous week [6]. - The cumulative transaction area from January to November showed a year-on-year decline of 9.6% [6]. - The year-on-year decline in second-hand housing transactions across 13 cities was 21% for the week and 31% for November, with a cumulative increase of 5% from January to November [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading real estate companies with strong land acquisition capabilities and land reserves in core cities, such as Poly Developments [7]. - It also highlights the potential for valuation recovery among leading intermediary firms benefiting from an increase in second-hand housing transactions, such as Wo Ai Wo Jia [7].
一线城市近一周二手房成交同比降幅收窄
Xiangcai Securities·2025-11-16 13:07