期货技术分析周报：2025年第47周-20251116

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No specific industry investment rating is provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The commodity futures market shows a differentiated pattern. Precious metals are generally volatile, some non - ferrous metals show bearish signals while lithium carbonate is rising, black - series commodities have mixed signals, energy - chemical products are also differentiated, and some agricultural products show bullish signs. The overall market is mainly volatile with unclear trend - based market conditions [1]. - The stock index futures market is under pressure, with the Shanghai 50 futures showing bearish signals and the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 futures showing strong bearish signals. The bond futures market is mainly volatile [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1有色及贵金属板块 - The precious metal sector is generally volatile, and some non - ferrous metal varieties such as lead, stainless steel, etc. show bearish signals, while others are volatile [9]. - Lithium carbonate LC2601 has risen this week, trading above the MA60 moving average. It faces long - liquidation pressure near 90,000 yuan/ton, but the position is stable, and it is expected to fluctuate widely around the MA60 in the short term [11]. 3.2黑色及航运板块 - Iron ore, coking coal, manganese silicon, wire rod, and coke in the black - series and shipping sectors show bearish signals, while European container shipping shows volatile signals, and other black - series varieties are volatile [19]. - Rebar RB2601 has risen this week, with technical indicators showing bullish momentum. The closing price has re - entered the support range of 3050 - 3070 yuan/ton, and attention should be paid to the risk of price rebound [23]. 3.3能化板块 - In the energy sector, crude oil, asphalt, and LPG show bullish signals, while others are volatile. In the chemical sector, staple fiber, ethylene glycol, and bottle chips show bullish signals, while plastic, propylene, synthetic rubber, methanol, and pulp show bearish signals, and others are volatile [29]. - PTA2601 has risen this week, approaching the MA60 moving average and the upper - track of the descending channel, with greater downward pressure than upward pressure. It is expected to be volatile next week [32]. 3.4农产品板块 - In the agricultural product sector, soybeans No. 1, soybean meal, corn starch, and logs show bullish signals, while soybean oil, cotton, live pigs, sugar, and cotton yarn show bearish signals, and others are volatile [38]. - Soybean meal M2601 has risen this week, breaking through the MA60 moving average. There is still strong selling power above the closing price on Friday, and it has the momentum to continue rising [42]. 3.5股指期货板块 - The Shanghai 50 futures show bearish signals, and the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 futures show strong bearish signals [48]. - The IC CSI 500 futures are mainly volatile. The weekly line has entered a volatile state, and the daily line shows short - term volatility. Attention should be paid to the fluctuations near the MA60 moving average and the middle - track of the Bollinger Bands [50]. 3.6国债期货板块 - The 2 - year, 5 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year treasury bond futures are mainly volatile [55]. - The T 10 - year treasury bond futures have short - term downward pressure, but the medium - term bullish trend has not ended. The price is mainly volatile around the middle - track of the Bollinger Bands [58][59].