2025年10月经济增长数据点评：经济转型升级态势持续

Economic Overview - In October 2025, China's economic performance showed that supply outpaced demand, with industrial output and service production indices growing by 4.9% and 4.6% year-on-year, respectively, but slowing down by 1.6 and 1.0 percentage points compared to the previous month[2] - The retail sales of consumer goods increased by 2.9% year-on-year, while fixed asset investment saw a cumulative decline of 1.7%, reflecting a slowdown of 0.1 and 1.2 percentage points from the previous month[2] Economic Transition and Growth Sectors - The ongoing economic transition is supported by high-tech manufacturing and productive services, with high-tech manufacturing output increasing by 7.2% year-on-year, outpacing overall industrial growth[2] - Key sectors such as automotive manufacturing, transportation equipment, and electricity production saw industrial value-added growth rates of 11.8%, 14.9%, and 2.2%, respectively[2] Consumer and Service Sector Growth - Basic and some upgraded consumer goods experienced rapid growth, with retail sales of food and oil products rising by 9.1% and 23.2% year-on-year, respectively[2] - Service consumption emerged as a significant growth point, with tourism and transportation services maintaining over 10% growth in retail sales from January to October[2] Investment Trends - From January to October, fixed asset investments in information services, transportation equipment, and automotive manufacturing grew by 32.7%, 20.1%, and 17.5%, respectively, while real estate investment declined by 14.7%[7] - The overall investment environment remains cautious due to complex external conditions and fierce domestic competition, with a notable decline in real estate development investments impacting total investment figures[7] Employment Stability - The urban unemployment rate in October was 5.1%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating overall employment stability[7]