Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market-A" for the construction industry [4]. Core Viewpoints - Infrastructure investment in October showed a month-on-month decline, with a focus on the high prosperity of the western region and cleanroom sector [1][2]. - The overall fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) from January to October reached 40.89 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7%, with October's investment down by 1.62% [1][16]. - The report suggests that despite the decline in investment growth rates, the construction sector is expected to benefit from policy catalysts and marginal improvements in fundamentals, particularly in Q4, which is traditionally a peak construction season [2][10]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics Analysis - From January to October, narrow and broad infrastructure investments recorded year-on-year changes of -0.10% and 1.51%, respectively, with a continuous month-on-month decline since April [1][16]. - In the three major infrastructure categories, investment in electricity, heat, gas, and water maintained a double-digit growth rate, increasing by 12.50% year-on-year [1][16]. Market Performance - The construction industry rose by 0.35% this week, underperforming compared to major indices like the Shenzhen Composite Index and the CSI 300 [19][20]. - The report highlights that 60.98% of companies in the construction sector recorded gains, with notable performers including Guosheng Technology and Dongyi Risheng [20][26]. Key Investment Targets - The report recommends focusing on undervalued construction enterprises, particularly state-owned enterprises in the western region and those involved in coal chemical projects [2][10]. - Specific recommendations include low-valuation central construction enterprises such as China State Construction, China Communications Construction, and China Railway Construction [10][11]. Company Announcements - Significant contract announcements include China Railway's new contracts totaling 8,450.7 billion yuan from January to October, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 11.8% [29]. - The report also notes that several companies have secured major contracts, indicating ongoing project activity in the sector [28]. Industry News - The report discusses the government's measures to promote private investment in major engineering projects, aiming to enhance participation from private capital [30]. - It also highlights the importance of optimizing project reviews and enhancing collaboration among departments to support infrastructure development [30].
10月基建投资环比回落,关注高景气西部区域投资和洁净室板块
Guotou Securities·2025-11-17 04:33