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海外市场周观察(1110-1116):美国政府最长停摆结束
Huafu Securities·2025-11-17 04:49

Group 1 - The US government ended its longest shutdown lasting 43 days on November 12, with President Trump signing a temporary funding bill [8][9] - The US stock market showed a pattern of initial gains followed by declines, with the Nasdaq Composite dropping by 2.3% on Thursday [8][10] - The Federal Reserve officials adopted a hawkish tone, indicating that the government shutdown could impact the December meeting, leading to a decrease in the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December [8][10] Group 2 - Key economic data includes the NFIB Small Business Confidence Index for October at 98.2, below expectations of 98.5 and the previous value of 98.8 [9] - The yield on the 10-year Treasury auction on November 12 was 4.074%, down from the previous 4.12% [9] - API crude oil inventory for the week ending November 7 was reported at 1.3 million barrels, lower than the previous 6.521 million barrels [9] Group 3 - Global major asset classes showed mixed performance, with COMEX silver rising by 9.67% and COMEX gold by 4.23% [26] - The French CAC40 index had the highest gain at 3.55%, while the Shenzhen Composite Index fell by 1.40% [30] - In the US equity market, the healthcare sector saw the largest increase of 4.11%, while the consumer discretionary sector experienced the largest decline of 1.60% [36] Group 4 - The foreign exchange market saw the Australian dollar appreciating by 1.07% against the RMB, while the Japanese yen depreciated by 1.42% [37] - The commodity market had mixed results, with COMEX silver leading gains at 9.67%, while NYMEX light crude oil fell by 2.07% [43] - The liquidity environment showed varied trends in long-term interest rates, with the 10-year Treasury yield in Germany rising by 4 basis points to 2.71% [46]