Yin He Zheng Quan·2025-11-17 06:07Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the steel industry, indicating a recovery in profitability and a focus on supply-side reforms [4][29]. Core Insights - The steel industry has shown significant improvement in profitability during the first three quarters of 2025, with total profits reaching 96 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 190% [4][6]. - The report highlights the implementation of supply-side reforms aimed at optimizing the structure of steel products and controlling production capacity [4][13]. - The demand for steel is expected to benefit from manufacturing upgrades and AI transformation, with a focus on high-end product development [4][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Profit Recovery and Supply-Side Policies - In the first three quarters of 2025, the cumulative operating revenue of key steel enterprises was 4.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.36%, while total profits reached 96 billion yuan, marking a significant recovery [4][6]. - The production of crude steel was 746 million tons, down 2.9% year-on-year, while steel consumption fell by 5.7% [4][6]. - The report notes that the sales profit margin increased to 2.1%, up 1.39 percentage points year-on-year [4][6]. 2. Fund Holdings in the Steel Sector - As of September 30, 2025, the number of fund holdings in the steel sector increased to 41, with a total holding value of 21.99 billion yuan, up 22.44% year-on-year [4][17]. - The report indicates that the steel sector's holdings accounted for 0.50% of total fund holdings, with a notable increase in the number of holdings during the first and third quarters [4][17]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the ordinary steel sector that are expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics, as well as companies in the special steel sector with strong fundamentals [4][29].