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医药板块放量反弹,期待年底催化行情
Tai Ping Yang Zheng Quan·2025-11-17 08:12

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for multiple companies in the pharmaceutical sector, including Junshi Biosciences, Hualing Pharmaceutical-B, Aorite, and others [1]. Core Views - The pharmaceutical sector experienced a 3.29% increase this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.37 percentage points. Sub-sectors such as pharmaceutical commerce, pharmacies, and innovative drugs performed well, while medical devices and consumables lagged [2][12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of market pricing power and the impact of liquidity and risk appetite on investment strategies, particularly in innovative drugs and related supply chains [2][12]. - The report highlights the upcoming patent expirations for small molecule drugs, which are expected to create significant demand for raw materials, with a projected sales impact of $390 billion from 2025 to 2030 [3][13]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The pharmaceutical sector's performance this week was characterized by a 3.29% increase, with notable performances in pharmaceutical commerce (+7.31%), pharmacies (+6.83%), and innovative drugs (+5.01%). In contrast, medical devices (0.16%) and new medical infrastructure (1.18%) showed weaker performance [17][29]. - The overall price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the pharmaceutical industry is reported at 30.84 times, with a premium of 25.08% compared to the overall A-share market excluding the financial sector [33]. Company Dynamics - Notable company announcements include: - Prologis Pharmaceuticals received a European certificate for its product, enhancing its international market prospects [18]. - Jianyou Co. announced FDA approval for its production site, expanding its manufacturing capabilities [19]. - Fuyuan Pharmaceuticals received a drug registration certificate from the National Medical Products Administration, allowing for the marketing of its product [20]. - The report suggests focusing on companies benefiting from domestic innovative drug support policies, such as Yangguang Nuohuo and Nuosige, as well as those with strong overseas business prospects [15][7]. Raw Materials - The report indicates that the raw materials sector is expected to see a significant increase in demand due to patent expirations, with a projected sales impact of $390 billion from 2025 to 2030. The production of raw materials in H1 2025 reached 1.935 million tons, reflecting an 8.2% year-on-year increase [3][13]. - Companies recommended for attention in the raw materials sector include Aorite, Prologis Pharmaceuticals, and Aoxiang Pharmaceuticals, focusing on innovation and strong performance [3][16].