房地产行业第46周周报：本周成交环比转正，同比降幅收窄，但10月70城房价环比跌幅扩大，仍需等待政策进一步发力-20251118

Investment Rating - The report rates the real estate industry as "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Insights - New home transaction area has turned positive on a month-on-month basis, with a narrowing year-on-year decline. The transaction area for new homes in 40 cities reached 194.1 million square meters, up 12.7% month-on-month, but down 32.8% year-on-year, with the year-on-year decline narrowing by 14.2 percentage points compared to the previous week [5][16] - The second-hand home transaction area also turned positive month-on-month, with a year-on-year decline narrowing. In 18 cities, the transaction area for second-hand homes was 163.2 million square meters, up 5.7% month-on-month, but down 22.7% year-on-year, with the year-on-year decline narrowing by 9.2 percentage points compared to the previous week [5][50] - The inventory area of new homes increased month-on-month but decreased year-on-year, with a total inventory area of 11,338 million square meters across 12 cities, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.3% and a year-on-year decrease of 11.5% [5][41] - The land market saw a decrease in transaction volume and price on a month-on-month basis, with total land transaction area at 938.5 million square meters, down 67.1% month-on-month and down 1.3% year-on-year. The total transaction price was 23.2 billion yuan, down 65.1% month-on-month and down 35.4% year-on-year [5][61] - The report highlights a positive outlook for the real estate industry, suggesting that companies with strong liquidity, high market share in key cities, and innovative business models in commercial real estate are likely to outperform [5] Summary by Sections 1. Key City New Home Market, Second-Hand Home Market, and Inventory Tracking - New home transaction area has turned positive month-on-month, with a narrowing year-on-year decline [15] - Second-hand home transaction area also turned positive month-on-month, with a narrowing year-on-year decline [50] - New home inventory area increased month-on-month but decreased year-on-year [41] 2. Land Market Tracking - Total land transaction area decreased significantly month-on-month and year-on-year [61] - The average land price per square meter increased month-on-month but decreased year-on-year [61] 3. Policy Overview - The report discusses various policies aimed at stimulating the real estate market, including easing conditions for withdrawing housing provident fund for home purchases [102][104] 4. Sector Performance Review - The real estate sector showed an absolute return of 2.7%, with relative returns increasing compared to the market [105]