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通信行业周观点:硅光模块可见渗透,微软发布AI超级工厂规划-20251118
Changjiang Securities·2025-11-18 06:28

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the communication industry [11]. Core Insights - In the 46th week of 2025, the communication sector experienced a decline of 4.70%, ranking 32nd among major industries, while it has risen by 55.59% since the beginning of the year, ranking 2nd [2][4]. - Tower's Q3 performance validates the high demand for silicon photonic modules, with a $300 million investment to expand PIC capacity, expected to triple by the second half of 2026 [2][7]. - Global computing infrastructure continues to expand, with Anthropic announcing a $50 billion investment to build custom data centers in Texas and New York, and Microsoft unveiling its "planetary" AI super factory architecture [6][7]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The communication sector's performance in the 46th week of 2025 showed a 4.70% decline, while year-to-date, it has increased by 55.59% [2][4]. - Among companies with a market capitalization above 8 billion, the top gainers were Online and Offline (+46.6%), Sanwei Communication (+8.6%), and Cambridge Technology (+6.6%), while the biggest losers were Keda (-14.4%), Guodun Quantum (-14.3%), and Lian Te Technology (-12.0%) [4]. Company Performance - Tower's Q3 revenue reached $396 million, a year-on-year increase of 7%, with net profit at $54 million, up 15% [5]. - The silicon photonic business generated approximately $52 million in revenue in Q3, a 70% year-on-year increase, with an expected annual revenue exceeding $220 million, more than doubling from $105 million in 2024 [5]. - The company plans to invest an additional $300 million to expand PIC wafer capacity, with a total investment of $650 million, and anticipates revenue from the silicon photonic business to exceed $900 million in the future [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their sectors: - Operators: China Mobile, China Telecom, China Unicom - Optical Modules: Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication - Liquid Cooling: Invec - Hollow Core Fiber: Fenghuo Communication, Hengtong Optic-Electric, Zhongtian Technology - Domestic Computing: Runze Technology, Guanghuan New Network, Aofei Data, Huafeng Technology, Guangxun Technology, ZTE, Unisplendour - AI Applications: Boshi Jie, Heertai, Tuobang Co., Yiyuan Communication, Meige Intelligent, Guanghetong - Satellite Applications: Huace Navigation, Haige Communication, Canqin Technology [7].