Topband(SZ:002139) Haitong Securities International·2025-11-18 07:06Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook relative to the market [4][8]. Core Insights - The company's short-term performance is under pressure, but it maintains a positive long-term trend, with new business segments such as smart cars and robotics showing rapid growth [4][8]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 8.19 billion RMB and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 420 million RMB, with a recurring net profit of 396 million RMB [4][8]. - The decline in profit is attributed to increased equity incentive costs and strategic investments, but excluding stock payments, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 498 million RMB, down 9.86% year-on-year [4][8]. - The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be 0.51, 0.66, and 0.81 RMB respectively, with a target price set at 15.71 RMB based on a 31x PE for 2025 [4][8]. Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue is forecasted to grow from 8,992 million RMB in 2023 to 14,073 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13.9% [3][5]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to fluctuate, with projections of 516 million RMB in 2023, increasing to 1,006 million RMB by 2027 [3][5]. - The company’s net asset return rate is projected to improve from 8.2% in 2023 to 11.3% in 2027 [3][5]. Business Segments - The core business segments, including tools and household appliances, are showing resilience, effectively countering the short-term impacts from the digital energy sector [4][8]. - The smart car business continues to grow rapidly, leveraging technological advantages and strong customer relationships, which positions the company well within the automotive intelligence trend [4][8]. - The robotics sector is also experiencing significant growth, with the company actively exploring AI applications in household appliances and robotics, aiming to convert technical advantages into market share [4][8].