Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-11-18 07:11Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [8]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that intelligence will be a key theme in the market for 2026, with investment opportunities extending beyond smart driving to areas like Robotaxi. A data closed loop is identified as the core starting point for achieving full-stack self-research, which differs fundamentally from mere data collection [1][3]. - The establishment of a data closed loop is crucial for filtering effective information from massive data, enabling machines to understand data, feedback to correct models, and perform OTA updates for secondary verification. This requires not only data ownership but also the ability to identify data gaps and utilize data to enhance models [1][3]. - The report suggests that the scale of the data closed loop team (e.g., whether it reaches a hundred members) and related investments should be key indicators for assessing a company's commitment and capability for self-research [1][3]. Summary by Sections Data Closed Loop - The report highlights that when algorithm models are truly driven by PB-level data, it will create a competitive barrier that is difficult to replicate. Even if competitors acquire model architectures or poach key personnel, lacking a substantial underlying data accumulation will hinder their ability to replicate similar algorithm capabilities in the short term [2][4]. - Building a solid data closed loop is expected to provide companies with a certainty of competitive advantage for six months to a year. Companies like Xiaopeng, Li Auto, and Huawei are noted to have established a leading advantage in the smart driving sector, with a high degree of technical moat [2][4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on domestic strong alpha manufacturers such as BYD, Geely, and Xiaopeng, as well as companies that represent the trend of intelligence like Huawei's HarmonyOS. Attention is also drawn to companies like JAC Motors and Seres, with specific recommendations for Li Auto, Kobot, Desay SV, and Jingwei Hengrun [2]. - For state-owned enterprise integration, the report suggests monitoring SAIC Motor, Dongfeng Motor Group, and Changan Automobile. Additionally, it highlights component companies with strong performance growth and capabilities for overseas expansion, recommending Fuyao Glass, New Spring, Fuda, Shuanghuan Transmission, and Yinlun [2].