农林牧渔行业月报:猪价持续下行,宠物食品“双十一”表现亮眼-20251118
Zhongyuan Securities·2025-11-18 08:59

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1]. Core Views - The report highlights a continued decline in pig prices and strong performance in pet food sales during the "Double Eleven" shopping festival [1]. - The industry is currently trading at lower price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) ratios compared to historical averages, indicating potential for valuation recovery [1]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In October 2025, the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery index rose by 0.19%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which had a return of approximately 0% [8][11]. - The pet food sector experienced a decline, while the wood processing sector showed strong gains [11]. Livestock Farming Data Tracking - Pig prices continued to decline in October 2025, with an average price of 11.52 yuan/kg, down 11.46% month-on-month and 34.77% year-on-year [16]. - The average price for white feather broilers was 3.38 yuan/jin, showing a slight decrease of 0.29% month-on-month and 7.65% year-on-year [26]. Pet Food Sales Performance - During the "Double Eleven" period in 2025, total sales of pet food reached 9.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.3% [35]. - Pet food exports in September 2025 totaled 30,500 tons, up 18.78% year-on-year, while the cumulative export amount from January to September was 1.057 billion USD, down 3.73% year-on-year [32][35]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Muyuan Foods, Pulaike, QiuLe Seed Industry, GuaiBao Pet, ZhongChong Co., and Petty Co., all rated as "Buy" [1].