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风电行业深度研究报告:风电主机:反内卷量价齐升,中长周期估值重塑
Huachuang Securities·2025-11-18 08:53

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the wind power industry, particularly for companies like Mingyang Smart Energy [2]. Core Insights - The wind power industry is experiencing a recovery in pricing and profitability, driven by a combination of factors including policy changes and robust domestic and international demand [6][7]. - The profitability of wind turbine manufacturers is increasingly reliant on wind farm development and operation, as manufacturing margins have been under pressure due to price wars and competition [11][15]. - The trend of turbine size increasing is slowing down, leading to a more concentrated industry as smaller players exit due to unsustainable losses [5][39]. Summary by Sections 1. Profit Structure of Wind Turbine Manufacturers - Wind turbine manufacturers derive profits from two main areas: equipment manufacturing and wind resource development, with the latter gaining a larger share of profits over time [11][15]. - The manufacturing sector has seen a significant decline in profit margins, with some companies reporting negative margins due to intense price competition [37][39]. 2. Recovery of Turbine Prices and Industry Profitability - Turbine prices have bottomed out and are expected to rise, with a projected increase of approximately 10% from the previous year [40][56]. - The industry is witnessing a shift from low-price competition to a focus on quality and sustainable pricing, supported by new policies aimed at curbing price wars [45][46]. 3. Domestic Demand and International Market Opportunities - Domestic wind power installation is projected to exceed 120 GW in 2025, driven by a robust bidding environment and government support for large-scale projects [60][62]. - Internationally, markets in Europe and emerging regions in Asia, Africa, and Latin America are expected to see significant growth, with annual additions projected to double in the next five years [5][60]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies like Goldwind Technology, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Sany Heavy Energy, as they are well-positioned to benefit from the recovery in turbine prices and strong demand [5][6].