DFD(SZ:002407) CMS·2025-11-18 13:04Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [3]. Core Insights - The company is the world's second-largest producer of lithium hexafluorophosphate, with a strong integrated layout and leading technology in crystalline hexafluoride. The demand for lithium batteries is expected to continue growing, leading to a significant rebound in hexafluoride supply and demand, with prices increasing over 170% from the bottom. This business is projected to contribute significantly to profits next year [1][7]. - The cylindrical battery business is starting to gain traction, with the company expected to become a key player in this field, contributing positively to profitability [1][27]. - The company has a comprehensive advantage in the hexafluoride sector, with a complete industrial chain from raw materials to lithium batteries, which enhances cost advantages [10]. Summary by Sections 1. Comprehensive Advantages in Hexafluoride - The company has established a complete industrial chain for hexafluoride production, significantly reducing raw material costs [10]. - It is the first domestic company to achieve breakthroughs in high-purity crystalline hexafluorophosphate technology, simplifying operations and improving raw material utilization [10][7]. 2. Reversal in Hexafluoride Supply and Demand - The hexafluoride market is experiencing a reversal in supply and demand, with prices rising sharply due to increased demand from the lithium battery sector. The average price has surged from 50,000 yuan/ton to over 150,000 yuan/ton [13][14]. - The company has a diverse customer base, with less than 30% of revenue coming from its top five customers, allowing it to be more sensitive to price increases [14][13]. 3. Growth in Cylindrical Battery Business - The company has been developing its battery business for over a decade, focusing on cylindrical batteries, which are now seeing significant demand in various sectors [27]. - The company aims to achieve a shipment volume of over 10 GWh in 2025, with expectations to reach 20-30 GWh in subsequent years [27][28]. 4. Financial Projections - The company is expected to generate revenues of approximately 10.26 billion yuan in 2025, with a significant increase projected for 2026 and 2027 [33][32]. - The gross profit margin for the hexafluoride business is expected to improve significantly, with projections of 28% in 2025 and 41% in 2026 [32][33].