北交所市场周报:四周年万亿将至,关注进口替代主线及估值边际-20251118
Western Securities·2025-11-18 14:18

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on policy-sensitive sectors and undervalued high-growth stocks, indicating a preference for a "defensive over growth" strategy in the current market environment [2][31]. Core Insights - The North Exchange has reached its fourth anniversary with a steady market expansion, now comprising 282 listed companies and a total market value nearing 1 trillion [2][28]. - Recent policies promoting renewable energy consumption and encouraging private investment in infrastructure are expected to provide long-term growth momentum for specialized enterprises in high-end manufacturing and renewable energy sectors [2][18][20]. - The report highlights a significant increase in new energy vehicle sales, with October marking the first month where sales exceeded 50% of total vehicle sales, reflecting a robust growth trend in this sector [2][21]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The average daily trading volume for all A-shares on the North Exchange reached 21.38 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.9% week-on-week [2][8]. - The North Exchange 50 index fell by 0.56% during the week, with an average turnover rate of 3.2% [2][8]. Key News and Policies - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued guidelines to enhance renewable energy consumption and control, aiming for a multi-layered consumption regulation system by 2030 [2][18]. - The State Council has encouraged private capital participation in various infrastructure projects, including railways and hydropower, with a potential holding ratio exceeding 10% for eligible projects [2][20]. Core Driving Factors - The market is characterized by a "defensive over growth" feature, with healthcare and gas sectors showing resilience due to favorable policies and market conditions [2][29]. - The technology sector, particularly communication equipment and semiconductors, has faced corrections due to global supply chain fluctuations and domestic demand saturation [2][29]. Investment Recommendations and Strategies - The report recommends focusing on policy-sensitive areas such as consumption, ultra-high voltage, countermeasures, and import substitution, as well as undervalued high-growth stocks like Lin Tai New Materials and Jin Hua New Materials [2][31].