富特科技(301607):小三电业务高速增长,海外及AIDC为第二增长曲线

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3][7]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing rapid growth in its small three-electric (小三电) business, with significant contributions from overseas markets and AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) as a second growth curve [1][6]. - The company has established a strong customer base, including major players in the electric vehicle sector, and is transitioning from traditional automotive clients to new energy vehicle manufacturers [6][19]. - The report forecasts substantial revenue growth, with total revenue expected to reach 34.51 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.8% from 2024 to 2027 [2][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Strong Customer Structure and Growth Drivers - The company has a well-established customer base, including renowned manufacturers such as Renault, Stellantis, and NIO, which has driven revenue growth from 9.64 billion yuan in 2021 to 18.35 billion yuan in 2023 [19][34]. - The transition to new energy vehicle clients has been a key growth driver, with significant revenue contributions from NIO and Xiaomi expected to offset declines from traditional clients like GAC Group [6][35]. 2. Competitive Landscape in Small Three-Electric Market - The small three-electric market is witnessing a trend towards integration, with the company capturing over 8% market share in the first half of 2025 [6][47]. - The report anticipates that the Chinese small three-electric market will grow from 25.3 billion yuan in 2024 to 39 billion yuan by 2028, with a CAGR of 11.51% [54]. 3. Overseas Expansion and AIDC as a Second Growth Curve - The company is expanding its overseas presence, with international revenue accounting for 17.77% of total revenue in the first half of 2025 [6][3]. - AIDC is identified as a potential second growth curve, with significant market opportunities projected as the demand for high-stability charging modules increases [6][3]. 4. Profitability Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.00 billion yuan, 3.69 billion yuan, and 5.35 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 32, 17, and 12 [2][7]. - The report assigns a target PE of 29 for 2026, suggesting a potential market capitalization of 10.55 billion yuan, indicating a 66% upside from the current valuation [7][6].