Market Overview - The recent adjustment in the A-share market is attributed to multiple factors, including external pressures from the Federal Reserve's stance against recent interest rate cuts and geopolitical tensions affecting market risk appetite [2][12] - The 4000-point level is not just a psychological barrier but also a significant technical resistance due to historical trapped positions since 2015, leading to market confidence issues [2][12] - The market is experiencing structural differentiation, with a rapid rotation between sectors resulting in a general lack of profit-making opportunities [2][12] Short-term Market Sentiment - Despite the recent three-day decline, the market's risk is gradually being released, indicating that the short-term adjustment may be nearing its end [3][13] - There is no sign of panic selling, suggesting a healthy adjustment rather than a trend reversal [3][13] - Anticipation for two important meetings in December, which will set the economic policy for the next year, is high, potentially serving as a catalyst for market recovery [3][13] Economic Indicators - The October CPI stabilization indicates a recovery in economic momentum [3][13] - The overall monetary policy remains accommodative, with potential for further easing measures such as reserve requirement ratio cuts or interest rate reductions, which could provide ample liquidity support for the market [3][13] Sector Performance - AI application concept stocks have shown resilience, with significant gains in related sectors such as software development and semiconductor industries [8][11] - The cultural media sector, including gaming and entertainment, has also performed well, with a notable increase in stock prices despite broader market declines [9][10] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a balanced approach to investment, focusing on sectors with strong performance indicators, including technology growth areas (semiconductors, AI themes) and cyclical industries (solar energy, batteries, chemicals) [4][14] - Emphasis is placed on selecting stocks with solid earnings support during market dips to optimize investment returns [4][14]
多方因素共振导致近期A股调整,风险逐步释放后下方空间有限
British Securities·2025-11-19 01:33