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农产品日报:晚富士产区货源陆续入库,红枣新陈货价差明显-20251119
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2025-11-19 02:31

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - Apple investment strategy: Neutral to bullish [4] - Red date investment strategy: Neutral [9] Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Apple: The price of late Fuji apples is generally stable. The western warehouse transactions are fair, while the ground transactions in Shandong are winding down. The inflow of market goods is limited, and the sales area is in the off - season. The inflow of citrus squeezes the sales space of apples. The inventory of new - season late Fuji is lower than last year, and the proportion of good - quality goods has decreased [2][3] - Red dates: The purchase progress in some areas of Xinjiang has accelerated, and farmers' price - holding sentiment has loosened. The spot market purchase enthusiasm has weakened, and the new - season red dates are expected to be listed in a concentrated manner, with large inventory pressure. The quality of red dates is better than last year, and the actual consumption situation will be a key focus [7][8] Group 3: Market News and Important Data Apple - Futures: The closing price of the Apple 2601 contract yesterday was 9,433 yuan/ton, a change of - 5 yuan/ton or - 0.05% from the previous day [1] - Spot: The price of 80 first - and second - grade late Fuji in Shandong Qixia was 3.75 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day; the price of over 70 semi - commodity late Fuji in Shaanxi Luochuan was 4.15 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day [1] Red Dates - Futures: The closing price of the Red Date 2601 contract yesterday was 9,325 yuan/ton, a change of + 55 yuan/ton or + 0.59% from the previous day [5] - Spot: The price of first - grade grey dates in Hebei was 8.90 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous day [5] Group 4: Recent Market Information Apple - Western warehouse transactions of late Fuji are fair, with fruit farmers mainly selling high - quality goods. The ground transactions in Shandong are winding down, with reduced supply and declining quality. The prices of high - quality goods are stable, and the market is under the support of foreign trade channels. The market is affected by competing fruits such as citrus, and the follow - up focus is on the digestion ability of inventory goods [2] Red Dates - The purchase progress in Aksu and Alar has accelerated, and some farmers' price - holding sentiment has loosened. The purchase in Ruoqiang, Hotan, and Qiemo has basically ended. The raw material purchase in production areas is priced according to quality. The purchase enthusiasm of enterprises is average. The spot price is expected to be weakly stable in the short term [7] Group 5: Market Analysis Apple - Yesterday, the apple futures price fluctuated and closed down. The high - quality goods transactions in the western warehouses of late Fuji are stable, and the ground transactions in Shandong are winding down. The new - season late Fuji inventory work is coming to an end, with inventory lower than last year. The market in the sales area is in the off - season, and the inflow of citrus squeezes the sales space of apples. This week, focus on the inventory completion in Shandong and Shanxi and the shipment speed in the west [3] Red Dates - Yesterday, the red date futures price closed slightly up. The purchase progress in Aksu and Alar has accelerated, and farmers' price - holding sentiment has loosened. The spot market purchase enthusiasm has weakened, and the new - season red dates are expected to be listed in a concentrated manner. The inventory pressure is large, and the supply - demand contradiction has not been substantially alleviated. The quality of red dates is better than last year, and the actual consumption situation will be a key focus [8]