有色金属行业周报（2025.11.10-2025.11.16）：Comex铜延续累库，预期将加剧非美区域供需压力-20251119

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The end of the U.S. government shutdown has improved market sentiment, which is expected to support copper and aluminum prices [1][16] - There is a notable division among Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rate cuts, with some advocating for a pause due to persistent inflation concerns [2][17] - The Simandou iron ore project in Guinea has officially commenced production, with a resource volume exceeding 4 billion tons and an annual capacity of 60 million tons [3][18] - A significant gold deposit has been discovered in China, with a total gold content of 1,444.49 tons, marking the largest single gold mine found since the establishment of the People's Republic of China [4][19] - Yahua Group has made a breakthrough in lithium sulfide technology, which is expected to accelerate the industrialization of solid-state batteries [5][20] Summary by Sections Market Review - The non-ferrous metal sector saw a slight increase of 1.07% during the week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.25 percentage points [10] Key Focus Areas & Metal Prices - Copper prices have increased by 1.41% to $10,846 per ton, while COMEX copper inventories rose by 3.23% to 381,296 tons [21][23] - Aluminum prices decreased slightly by 0.12% to $2,858.5 per ton, with LME aluminum inventories increasing by 0.94% [21][23] - Gold prices on COMEX rose by 1.91% to $4,084.40 per ounce, with SHFE gold prices increasing by 3.47% to 953.20 yuan per gram [38][39] - Battery-grade lithium carbonate prices surged by 9.15% to 80,500 yuan per ton, driven by strong demand from energy storage and AI sectors [41][46] Core View Updates and Key Stock Tracking - For industrial metals, the report recommends focusing on companies with integrated operations, such as China Hongqiao, and suggests关注紫金矿业, 洛阳钼业, and others for copper investments [55][56] - In precious metals, the ongoing trend of central banks purchasing gold is highlighted, with recommendations for stocks like 赤峰黄金 and 山东黄金 [55] - Strategic metals are expected to benefit from the easing of export restrictions, with a focus on cobalt, antimony, and tungsten sectors [56]