通信行业 2025 年三季报综述:算力底座全面放量,AI 应用纵深延展
Changjiang Securities·2025-11-19 11:05

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the communication industry [12] Core Insights - The communication sector continues to experience high growth in Q3 2025, driven by AI, with a significant expansion in computing power infrastructure and deepening applications [2][10] - The overall revenue for the communication industry (excluding the three major operators) reached CNY 659.77 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.10%, with a net profit of CNY 51.44 billion, up 19.20% [20][24] - In Q3 2025, the sector achieved revenue of CNY 225.41 billion, a 16.41% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of CNY 17.89 billion, reflecting a 26.42% growth [20][24] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The communication industry shows sustained performance with a continued high level of sector prosperity, driven by strong demand for AI and optical communication [20][29] - The revenue growth for various sub-sectors includes optical devices, which saw a significant increase, and IDC and related equipment, which also experienced substantial growth [29] Computing Power Industry Chain - Operators are seeing a slight recovery in revenue growth, with capital expenditures increasingly directed towards intelligent computing centers [8] - The demand for high-speed interconnects is surging, leading to significant revenue and profit growth in optical modules, while supply constraints are pushing up profit margins [8][29] Big Connectivity Industry Chain - The Internet of Things (IoT) continues to grow, driven by 5G penetration and demand for smart terminals, with stable revenue and profit growth across the industry [9] - The satellite communication sector is also witnessing upward trends in revenue and profit, with accelerated civilian applications of satellite technology [9] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on key players in various segments, including operators like China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom, as well as companies in optical modules, IDC, and AI applications [10][31]