CSI Solar(SH:688472) Soochow Securities·2025-11-19 14:03Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company, CSIQ, has a strong order backlog and expects a doubling of energy storage shipments in 2026 [1] - The company anticipates Q4 2025 sales between $1.3 billion and $1.5 billion, with a gross margin of 14%-16% [8] - CSIQ's energy storage orders as of October 31, 2025, amount to $3.1 billion, reflecting a growth of approximately $100 million since June 30, 2025 [8] - The company is expected to achieve significant growth in energy storage shipments, projecting 14GWh-17GWh for 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 73%-115% [8] - The report indicates a slight increase in expense ratios but a significant improvement in cash flow, with operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 reaching 5.47 billion yuan, a 120.9% increase year-on-year [8] - The profit forecast for 2025 has been adjusted downwards to 1.5 billion yuan due to slower-than-expected global photovoltaic demand recovery, while the profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been raised to 3.24 billion yuan and 4.27 billion yuan, respectively [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 51.31 billion yuan - 2024: 46.17 billion yuan - 2025: 42.39 billion yuan - 2026: 50.42 billion yuan - 2027: 58.72 billion yuan [1] - Net profit projections are as follows: - 2023: 2.90 billion yuan - 2024: 2.25 billion yuan - 2025: 1.50 billion yuan - 2026: 3.24 billion yuan - 2027: 4.27 billion yuan [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2023: 0.79 yuan - 2024: 0.61 yuan - 2025: 0.41 yuan - 2026: 0.88 yuan - 2027: 1.16 yuan [1]