凯莱英(002821):三季度业绩符合预期,新兴业务表现亮眼:凯莱英(002821):2025年三季报点评
Huachuang Securities·2025-11-20 04:15

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company with a target price of 120 yuan [2][7]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 2025 performance met expectations, with new business segments showing strong growth. Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 4.63 billion yuan, up 11.82%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 800 million yuan, up 12.66% [2][4]. - The report highlights that the small molecule CDMO business remains stable, contributing significantly to the company's revenue, despite some fluctuations due to adjustments in client pipelines [2][7]. - Emerging businesses have shown remarkable growth, with a 71.9% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, and an improvement in gross margin [2][7]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve total revenue of 6.63 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.2%. Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.18 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 24.1% [2][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 3.26 yuan for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 28 times [2][8]. - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit for 2026 and 2027, with projected figures of 1.45 billion yuan and 1.76 billion yuan, respectively [2][8]. Business Segment Analysis - The small molecule CDMO business has maintained a gross margin of 47.0%, which is crucial for the company's foundation [2][7]. - The chemical macromolecule CDMO segment has seen over 150% revenue growth, driven by increasing demand for new drug types [2][7]. - The biopharmaceutical CDMO segment is entering a rapid growth phase, with significant contributions from overseas clients [2][7]. - The formulation CDMO business is expected to benefit from new production capacities coming online in 2025 [2][7]. - The clinical CRO business is projected to recover steadily as the innovative drug sector sees increased investment [2][7].