国证国际港股晨报-20251120

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market continued its downward trend, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 0.38%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down by 0.26%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index decreasing by 0.69% [2] - The total trading volume in the market was approximately 211.4 billion HKD, with short selling accounting for about 22.58% of the total trading volume over the past three days, indicating a relatively high level of short selling [2] - Net inflow from southbound funds decreased to approximately 6.6 billion HKD, with Xiaomi Group, Alibaba, and the Southern Hang Seng Tech ETF being the most actively traded stocks [2] Group 2: Sector Performance - The resource sector showed resilience, with gold prices stabilizing around 4,100 USD per ounce, leading to a rebound in gold and non-ferrous metal stocks [3] - Oil and gas stocks maintained upward momentum due to OPEC+ members announcing a pause in production increases, alleviating concerns over supply surplus [3] - Conversely, the consumer and technology sectors generally performed poorly, with significant declines in new consumption concepts and electric vehicle stocks [4] Group 3: Company Analysis - Weisheng Holdings (3393.HK) - Weisheng Holdings has a broad overseas business network, with overseas revenue expected to reach 2.4 billion RMB in 2024, a fivefold increase since 2020, reflecting a CAGR of 58% [7] - The ADO business is entering a rapid growth phase, with overseas market revenue expected to accelerate, particularly in data center energy solutions [8] - The company has maintained a leading position in bidding for projects from the State Grid and Southern Grid, with a significant increase in bid amounts from 620 million RMB in 2020 to 1.04 billion RMB in 2024, representing a CAGR of 13.8% [9] Group 4: Financial Projections - The report initiates a "Buy" rating for Weisheng Holdings with a target price of 17.36 HKD, predicting net profits of 920 million, 1.21 billion, and 1.53 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10] - The estimated PE ratio for 2026 is 10.6 times, with a dividend yield of 4.7%, indicating potential for valuation improvement [10]