Topband(SZ:002139) HUAXI Securities·2025-11-20 09:54Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue increase of 6.34% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 8.188 billion yuan, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 23.86% to 420 million yuan [2] - The company is expected to gradually improve its overseas production capacity in the coming year, which will contribute positively to performance [4][5] Summary by Sections Business Performance - The company has a stable core business with high order visibility and strong revenue certainty. New business market expansion is gradually breaking through, with expectations of performance contributions as demand increases [3] Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 21.98%, a decrease of 1.73 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to tariff policies leading to order transfers and increased costs from cross-border raw material transportation. Industry competition has also pressured product pricing [4] - The expense ratio increased to 16.18%, up 1.27 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to slowing revenue growth and increased stock incentive costs [5] Investment Recommendations - Due to the impact of tariffs and industry competition, the overall revenue growth and gross margin are below previous expectations. However, the strong certainty of the core business and the growth potential from innovative business segments lead to an adjustment in profit forecasts. Revenue estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised to 110.5 billion, 127.2 billion, and 149.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share adjusted to 0.46, 0.59, and 0.81 yuan [5]