Guoxin Securities·2025-11-20 14:34Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the pharmaceutical industry [2] Core Insights - Eli Lilly's revenue increased by 52% year-on-year in Q3 2025, driven by GLP-1 drugs, with Tirzepatide's quarterly revenue exceeding $10 billion for the first time, showing a 131% year-on-year growth [4] - Novo Nordisk faced intensified competition in the weight loss drug market, leading to a modest revenue growth of 1% for Ozempic and 6% for Wegovy in Q3 2025, prompting a downward revision of its annual performance guidance [4] - A total of 11 out of 16 companies in the report raised their revenue and/or net profit/EPS forecasts for the year, primarily due to better-than-expected sales of new products [4] Summary by Sections 1. Q3 2025 Performance Review - Eli Lilly's Q3 revenue reached $17.6 billion, with a 62% increase in sales volume, while net prices decreased by 10% [12] - Novo Nordisk's sales revenue for Q3 was 75 billion Danish Kroner, with a net profit decline of 27% [13] - JNJ's pharmaceutical segment achieved revenue of $15.6 billion, with significant contributions from oncology and neurology products [14] - AbbVie reported global sales of $15.8 billion, with notable growth in immunology and neurology sectors [15] - Gilead's revenue for Q3 was $7.3 billion, with a 4% increase in HIV product sales [16] 2. MNC Product Performance in the U.S. Market - The median time for MNC products to reach peak sales in the U.S. market is approximately 8 years, with first-in-class (FIC) products achieving this in about 7 years [4] 3. Revenue and Guidance Adjustments - Eli Lilly raised its full-year revenue guidance from $60-62 billion to $63-63.5 billion [12] - Novo Nordisk revised its revenue growth forecast down from 8%-14% to 8%-11% [13] - JNJ increased its full-year revenue guidance from $93.2-93.6 billion to $93.5-93.9 billion [14]