Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a sustained increase in demand for biodiesel driven by terminal demand growth and regulatory changes, particularly the implementation of the EU RED III directive starting in 2026, which is expected to significantly boost biodiesel demand [5][7] - The successful completion of China's first domestic B5 biodiesel injection for inland trade marks a significant step in increasing domestic biodiesel consumption, with projections indicating a substantial increase in demand for biodiesel in both domestic and international markets [6][7] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The report indicates a positive outlook for the biodiesel industry, with prices for first and second-generation biodiesel increasing by 11% and 24% respectively since the beginning of 2025 [5] - The global context of carbon reduction is expected to further enhance the demand for biodiesel, particularly in light of the EU's stricter carbon reduction targets [7] Regulatory Developments - The EU's RED III directive aims to increase the renewable energy consumption target from 32% to at least 42.5% by 2030, which will likely double the demand for biodiesel and its raw materials [7] - The cancellation of the double carbon reduction policy for used cooking oil (UCO) as a biodiesel feedstock is expected to further increase demand [7] Market Opportunities - The report identifies potential beneficiaries of the biodiesel demand surge, including companies like卓越新能, 海新能科, 嘉澳环保, and 山高环能 [7] - The anticipated increase in biodiesel demand is supported by both domestic initiatives and international regulatory frameworks, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the industry [6][7]
行业点评报告:国内首单内贸B5生柴加注,生物船燃需求前景可期
KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-11-21 01:45