Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the communication industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [2][43]. Core Insights - The number of global operators launching 5G-A commercial networks has reached 12, indicating a shift in industry focus from initial non-independent networking to more substantial investments in standalone (SA) networks, marking a deepening phase in 5G independent networking development [3][39]. - The communication industry is entering a period of technological iteration and policy dividends, with new productivity directions such as AI, quantum communication, and low-altitude economy expected to drive growth [3][39]. - The report suggests focusing on three main lines of opportunity: "technology commercialization + policy catalysis + performance certainty" [3][39]. Industry Performance Review - The communication sector index fell by 3.26% over the past two weeks (11/7-11/20), underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.53 percentage points, ranking 25th among 31 first-level industries [10][11]. - For November, the communication sector index has decreased by 1.88%, again underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.25 percentage points [10][11]. - Year-to-date, the communication sector index has risen by 58.84%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 42.83 percentage points [10][11]. Industry News and Company Announcements - In September, domestic mobile phone shipments reached 27.93 million units, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, with 5G phones accounting for 86.3% of total shipments [15][18]. - Dell'Oro Group reported that 12 mobile network operators have launched 5G-Advanced commercial networks, indicating a global trend towards standalone network deployment [18]. - The IDC reported a recovery in China's video cloud market, with a market size of $5.23 billion in the first half of 2025, reflecting an 8.9% year-on-year growth [20]. Industry Data Updates - As of September 2025, the mobile phone user base reached approximately 1.828 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.78% [26]. - The internet broadband access user base was about 695 million, up 5.35% year-on-year [28]. - The total number of 5G base stations reached 4.705 million, with a net increase of 455,000 from the end of the previous year [34].
通信行业双周报(2025、11、7-2025、11、20):全球已有12家运营商推出5G-A商用网络-20251121
Dongguan Securities·2025-11-21 04:34